Thursday, September 11, 2014

El Nino Blows Back Into Minny

Training camps are getting ever-closer, now that we are nearing the middle of September and the Minnesota Wild tying up one of their last loose ends of the Summer, signing Nino Niederreiter to a new 3-year deal, reportedly worth $8 million.

The signing now leaves goaltender Darcy Kuemper as the last signing to come down for Minnesota, but that does sound like it could be a ways off, since the Wild are already going forward with two goalies in camp, despite the coaching staff saying that Kuemper has a shot at the number one job, if he shows.

Niederreiter, on the other hand, is now signed to his bridge deal after his entry-level deal expired in the Summer.  It was Niederreiter's first year with the Wild in 2014, where he played in 81 games, scoring 14 goals and 36 points.  It was the first real solid taste of the NHL in his career, as his cup of coffee with the New York Islanders didn't last quite as long as he may have wanted.

There is very little question that this kid has some offensive talent to go with his blistering skating speed, but with a team-first mentality in Minnesota, it might be hard for Niederreiter to spread his wings exactly, rather he'll have to capitalize on the chances that he is afforded for his numbers.

I have his projections improving somewhat, not too certain he'll break out this year.

Salary CapThe cap number for Niederreiter is quite reasonable and the Wild did well to keep it from going out of control.  Over the next three seasons, the young Swiss forward will have a cap hit of $2.667 million, which is more than manageable and definitely going to push the kid into some bigger numbers and longer-term, more lucrative deal.  The Wild now have six camp spots open on their projected roster and still have over $12 million in cap space.  Management of the Wild must be pleased with themselves after this Summer.

2014 Draft Class Signings (Sep 11)

The 16th overall pick from this Summer's draft is now locked up, as expected. Forward Sonny Milano decided against going to play in the NCAA this year, instead opting for the Canadian Hockey League and the Plymouth Whalers, and being open to signing with the Columbus Blue Jackets, which he did on Thursday.  Milano will be taking part in rookie camp for the Jackets this weekend, but with some of the prospect depth that the team already has, it is believed that he will end up in Plymouth before it is all said and done.

With Ryan Johansen unsigned still, there may still be an open roster spot, something that Milano could at least get a 9-game audition with the big club with as well.  Something to watch out for.

Fringe Signings (Sep 11)

The New York Rangers were somewhat busy over the last couple of days. On Wednesday, they were able to re-sign the last of their restricted free agents, defenseman John Moore, to a new 1-year deal worth $850,500. Moore, 23, has spent some time in the NHL with the Blue Jackets and the Rangers, always seemingly on the verge of making a roster full time and becoming a pool-worthy asset, but has fallen short in either one category or the other. Moore, who played 74 games with the Rangers last year, only put up 15 points, but if the maturity levels come up, he could be really close to being a good pick.

On Thursday, the team put pen to paper with Ryan Malone, who recently finished off some of his legal issues and looks to be free and clear to resume his NHL career.  Late last season, Malone was pulled over for a DUI and drug possession, but with some of that now behind him, he can focus on playing and the Rangers have given him that opportunity.  Malone signed a two-way deal worth $700,000, which gives the Rangers some leeway on paying him in the minors.  Malone has failed to crack the top 400 in pool scoring over the last couple seasons, but possibly with a renewal of focus, he can get his game back together.

Wednesday, September 10, 2014

Saku Koivu Calls It A Day

It's the end of another era in the NHL, as Saku Koivu announced on Wednesday that he was retiring after 18 NHL seasons.  Koivu spent his entire career between Montreal and Anaheim, where he played in over 1,100 games and amassed a shade over 830 points in his career, not to mention his triumphant return from a battle with cancer, which lifted his status beyond compare to a lot of NHL players.

In hockey pool terms, Koivu was never an upper-echelon kind of player, never really considered to be a top end pick, his peak position in pool scoring came in the 2003 season, where he finished 42nd overall, thanks to a 71-point campaign in 82 games with the Canadiens.

He spent most of his time hovering in the top 200 in pool scoring and then in the 2014 season, he finished with only 11 goals and 29 points in 65 games for the Ducks, dropping him to 290th overall and that would then be his last season in the NHL.

Koivu was a big contributor to his teams and teammates, both on and off the ice, according to many reports, which led him to the captaincy in Montreal, which is a storied position to hold in North American pro sports.

Strike him from your list, he won't do you much good in the 2015 season.



Handing Out Camp Invites (Sep 10)

The Arizona Coyotes were busy on Tuesday, inviting three unrestricted free agents to their training camp, which gets started in a couple of weeks. The most intriguing and most notable, defenseman Jamie McBain, who spent last season with the Buffalo Sabres, scoring 6 goals and 17 points in 69 games for the underachieving club. The year before that, he was in Carolina, playing for another poor team, scoring 1 goal and 8 points in 40 games for the Hurricanes. With the Coyotes still being somewhat short-staffed on the blueline, I think McBain has a real shot at making the push up into a contract.

Less notably, the Coyotes invited tough guy forward Matt Kassian and defender Matt Smaby to camp as well, both players being lower in the depth chart kind of players, neither really pool worthy.

36-year old Czech defenseman Tomas Kaberle is going to try and reboot his career and the New Jersey Devils are going to help facilitate that comeback with an invite to their training camp.  If Kaberle is looking for a place to play, the Devils are certainly a good option for him, as they only have five defenders on their projected roster and there is still some question marks about how Adam Larsson is going to fit into the system in 2015, so there may just be more than enough room to move in.  Kaberle last played in the shortened 2013 season, playing in only 10 games for the Montreal Canadiens, picking up 3 assists.  If Kaberle is healthy enough to play, there is a decent chance that he'll be good enough to be pool worthy, so keep him on your radar for a late-round pick.

The Devils will also have one of their own unrestricted free agents coming to camp in forward Ryan Carter, a fringe player, at best.

Over the past few seasons, the Tampa Bay Lightning have loaded up on goaltending, to which almost any combination of the four they have signed on to major league contracts to make for a reasonably successful NHL tandem, anywhere in the league.  They have decided to make things a little more interesting, adding former Calgary Flames prospect Leland Irving to the mix, inviting him to camp.  Irving also last played in the shortened season, winning a couple of games and adding an assist for 5 points, but the depth of the Lightning may only fetch him a minor-league deal, at best right now.



Monday, September 08, 2014

A New Prize Has Arrived, Let's Name the Trophy


Yes!  It arrived today... the new trophy for the hockey pool!  Yes, that is a bobblehead on top of the trophy... how cool is that?!?

We are only a few weeks away from the next draft, which goes on the 27th, and now we'll have something to admire and desire when we all get together at the pub.

I am going to get the names of our previous winners engraved on it and I am hoping that the previous winners will be around at the draft, just to have a look at what they've accomplished in the past.

Preferably, I would like to name the trophy, so we all have something to call it, so I am taking suggestions (post a comment, will you?) and would like to have a name decided by draft day, if at all possible.  The trophy may not be as grandiose as the Shiva is on FXX's The League, but I am hoping that it will carry just as much meaning in the end.

Let's name the trophy and then go back to our drafting homework... training camps are just around the corner!

Friday, September 05, 2014

Handing Out Camp Invites (Sep 5)

On Friday morning, the Boston Bruins announced that they have invited two more unrestricted free agents to training camp, as their salary cap crunch wouldn't likely allow them to sign anyone to a new deal. Finnish forward Ville Leino was confirmed as one of the new invites, while Canadian defenseman Steve Eminger was the other, adding a little bit more NHL experience to their training camp roster.  Today, I would say that Leino has a reasonable shot at making the roster, despite not exactly being a Bruins-like player, but he could sign for a reasonable amount, especially if they can't get Reilly Smith under contract.  Eminger, on the other hand, has a lot of depth to wade through, but he did sign a minor-league deal with the Bruins, so he will at least have a job at the end of camp.


Minor Injury Updates (Sep 5)

A potentially popular defenseman for the Pittsburgh Penguins, Olli Maatta, has given an update on his off-season shoulder surgery, where he has been working out in the off-season, with little discomfort, but as of the beginning of September, he still hasn't been cleared for any contact on the ice.  The update did not necessarily provide a yay or nay as to whether or not he will be ready for training camp, but he still has a couple more weeks to go, as physicals and camps should open around the 18th, 19th and 20th.

Maatta has some real offensive upside, but this is also his sophomore season, so tread carefully with the 20-year old Finn.

Another Penguins player still awaiting word on whether or not he can take contact drills is forward Pascal Dupuis, who had off-season knee surgery.  Dupuis has been skating, but is reportedly still feeling some discomfort in his legs, which may limit his chances at getting cleared before training camp opens.

Dupuis is poised to be a good pick-up again for your hockey pool team, with the Penguins deep in offensive talent, but I wouldn't go so far as to discount his projections just yet.  The 35-year old sounds like he's close to coming back through camp, so we'll keep his numbers about the same.

Last season, defenseman Stephane Robidas had a tough go of it, suffering a broken leg twice in the year, playing between Anaheim and Dallas.  It was too unlucky to be placed on the injury prone list, but he does have a tendency to miss some time, albeit small numbers of games.  Robidas has reportedly been skating since June and appears to be ready for camp, although it isn't official yet, thanks to no clearance from doctors, but it looks like that is only a formality from what I've read.

Robidas is being pegged in my projections as a late-round option, at best, likely not even figuring into this year's hockey pool draft.  In Toronto, he will likely figure into the 5-6 slot, as Morgan Rielly has a good shot at moving up into the top four.  Robidas will be needed as a shutdown guy, so his pairing may still be up in the air.

Boston Bruins tough guy Milan Lucic underwent off-season wrist surgery and remains as someone to watch heading into camp.  The reports are suggesting that he will be ready for camp and that is likely the case, since he had surgery in May, but it is somewhat noteworthy at this point in the game.  You won't want to be caught with your pants down taking a guy that may suffer the after effects of a surgery in the off-season.  Keep an eye on him and when he gets the green light, add away.

I have Lucic ready for a pretty good year in my projections and I wouldn't be bold enough to discount his numbers at this point either.  With the departure of Jarome Iginla, there is a chance that Lucic may be leaned upon for a little bit more offense this season as well.

Thursday, September 04, 2014

Avs Re-Sign Barrie

That didn't take too long for number four on my list of outstanding restricted free agents to fall... after the post.

On Thursday, the Colorado Avalanche announced that they have re-signed defenseman Tyson Barrie to a new 2-year contract, successfully bridging his entry-level deal to a potential long-term deal, as this new agreement is worth $2.6 million per year.

With the new deal, the Avalanche are now free and clear of all their RFA's and can now fully look towards training camp, which starts in a couple of weeks.

As it was mentioned a couple of days ago on my RFA post, Barrie had a whale of a 2014 season, finishing 28th among all defensemen in scoring with 13 goals and 38 points in 64 games in Colorado and the sky seems to be the limit for this kid.

He will turn out to be a very desirable player in this year's hockey pool, as defensemen grow very popular among the first few rounds, since there are very few that can reach the upper echelons of scoring, somewhere we could see Barrie ending up in the next few seasons.  In terms of points per game among his fellow blueliners, who had played half or more games last season, Barrie finished 14th with a scoring rate of 0.594 ppg.

In my own projections, I have him in a very favourable position, atop the Avalanche blueliners in scoring, assuming he can play the whole year.

Salary CapThe salary cap isn't too much of an issue with Barrie locked in now, as the bridge deal still leaves the club with about $4.1 million to use on two open roster spots. I can see a couple of those spots being used up by talent within the organization, which should leave more than enough to work with come trade deadline time.

Handing Out Camp Invites (Sep 4)

Oh, September... training camp season. Time to get back into the proper swing of hockey pool studying, which includes taking note of all the professional tryouts that are happening around the league. Teams are inviting unrestricted free agents to camp, trying to see if they could fit in a gap left on their roster or outplay someone they already have signed. These players don't have deals now, so there is a good chance that they could play for less on a 1-year deal, just to make every party happy. Who has agreed so far?

The Boston Bruins are in salary cap hell right now and they may need someone like Simon Gagne to help them out to get them through a tough time. Gagne was one of the first players to agree to a tryout this season.  The Bruins would be looking for some veteran help up front, while keeping costs low for the upcoming season.  A good tryout for Gagne, who didn't play at all last season, could give him a good chance at making the team out of camp.  It would be hard to expect any of his past career numbers in the 2015 season, but keep an eye on him in camp... just in case.  He could end up being a wee bit of a sleeper.

The Flames fascination with bigger, slower defensemen is mind-boggling.  Calgary has six defensemen on their projected roster and they have a couple of youngsters in the fold to likely tryout for the seventh spot, but they have still decided to invite Sheldon Brookbank to camp on a tryout.  Brookbank played in 48 games with the Blackhawks, giving them some adequate depth, scoring 2 goals and 7 points in the process, but a move to Calgary doesn't make him into a pool-worthy defenseman, even if he does sign.

The Florida Panthers have a couple of spots open on their blueline, which are likely penciled in for Aaron Ekblad and Dylan Olsen, but those two will have some competition with tryout defender Shane O'Brien.  O'Brien spent last season with the Flames, picking up 3 assists in 45 games, which makes him far from a pool-worthy defenseman on his own merits and by looking at the depth in Florida that is already there, he wouldn't see a great deal of ice-time anyways.  There is no sleeper possibility here.

Goaltending in Los Angeles was a strong point for the Kings in 2014, so much so, they cashed in on one of their back-ups in a trade.  The team is going to offer more competition to Martin Jones in training camp this time around, inviting Jeff Deslauriers to camp on a tryout.  I would imagine that Deslauriers has a big hill to climb, if he wants to make it back to the NHL, especially in Los Angeles, but a good camp may give him an opportunity somewhere.  The last time Deslauriers was relevent to the pool was the 2010 season, where he won 16 games for 41 points with Edmonton, ranking 29th among all goalies.

The Montreal Canadiens are going to take a flyer on former Carolina Hurricanes forward Drayson Bowman, someone who just couldn't quite make the cut down South.  Bowman slowly climbed his way into a semi-everyday position with the Hurricanes, but his development never really reached what his potential was pegged at.  Last season, Bowman did play in 70 games for Carolina, scoring 4 goals and 12 points, but maybe a change of scenery will help his cause.  The Habs don't have many spots open on their front end, plus they have a number of players vying for those limited spots, so it will definitely be a tough slog for Bowman in camp.

Remember when Scott Gomez won the Calder Trophy for being the NHL's rookie of the year?  Boy, that was a long time ago.  Well, he was in a New Jersey Devils uniform then and the 34-year old forward will try to find some of that touch in a tryout with his former team.  In Florida last season, Gomez played in 46 games, scoring 2 goals and 12 points, on a 1-year deal that he signed down there.  The Alaska native had 15 points in 39 games in San Jose the season before, so even if he did make the Devils, which is a long shot, at best, he wouldn't be projected for many points.

On Thursday, the Pittsburgh Penguins announced that they signed agitating forward Dan Carcillo to a tryout, expecting him to be in camp in a couple weeks.  Carcillo will provide some competition for a guy like Steve Downie, who is signed on for the year, but could be on some shaky ground, given his history with injuries and other assorted issues.  Carcillo topped out in the last few years at 22 points, so he isn't really a pool-worthy forward, but he could knock out Downie, who still has some low-level potential for a late round pick, if he found some top six time at some point.

Wednesday, September 03, 2014

Recent Contract Extensions (Sep 3)

The Boston Bruins made a splash on their cap number for next season, signing forward David Krejci to a new 6-year contract extension, which is worth $43.5 million in total.  The extension won't start until the 2016 season, but the deal will carry an annual cap hit of $7.25 million, which will put a serious dent in the cap space that the team will carry into next season.

First, it is important to note that the Bruins did get a pretty good year out of Krejci in 2014, as he scored 19 goals and 50 assists in 80 games, which had him ranked 34th overall in pool scoring, 22nd among all forwards, so there is a real potential that this deal won't be a waste in the end.  This deal will also take Krejci into being age 35 at the end, which will potentially be a good time for more shorter-term options.

Of course, the salary cap number for the 2016 season (and beyond) has not been determined from here on in and and the Bruins aren't necessarily in the worst shape today.  With all the players they have on contract, it would barely make a team, 20 players in total (12 forwards, six defense and goaltending tandem in Rask and Subban), and that would carry a salary cap hit of $58.4 million, which is middle of the road by this year's cap number.  The Bruins only have five unrestricted free agents, potentially, next Summer, so they'll be knee deep in restricted free agents, possibly including the two that they have yet to sign before the 2015 season.

While the Bruins should be locking down the current year, they possibly made the next season more difficult.






2014 Draft Class Signings (Sep 3)

The draft class from June continues to get signed up, as the 1st overall pick, defenseman Aaron Ekblad, finally put pen to paper on Wednesday. The Florida Panthers locked up their new prized possession and you could imagine, it is the rookie maximum for Ekblad, starting off with a $925,000 salary, plus entry-level bonuses.

With the signing of Ekblad, that means the top four picks from the draft have all been signed for the coming year and 18 out of 30 picks now have contracts going into the 2015 season, although they all likely won't be used, rather they'll slide for a year or two, which would extend them for a couple of seasons.

Another point of note, it sounds like Ekblad is scheduled to participate in rookie camp for the Panthers and his concussion symptoms have now passed and he's good to go.


Tuesday, September 02, 2014

2014 Draft Class Signings (Sep 2)

It has been a long off-season it seems, but with the calendar switching over to September, we may see a kick in pool-worthy news on the blog.

On Tuesday (Sep. 2), the Winnipeg Jets put pen to paper with the number nine overall pick, Nikolaj Ehlers.  Ehlers, a Danish-born winger, had a monster year with Halifax in the QMJHL and the Jets will be hoping that he brings his dynamic scoring to the club, which desperately needs some more goals.  It appears that Ehlers should be getting the full rookie salary ($925,000), assuming he makes the club right out of the gates.  It is hard to say, right now, where he fits in the grand scheme of things, but given the lack of established scoring up front for Winnipeg, he may just get a long look.

The St. Louis Blues got in on the act as well on Tuesday, signing the 21st overall pick, Robby Fabbri to his 3-year entry-level deal, likely worth in the same neighbourhood of all of his 1st round counterparts.  Fabbri is a speedy winger with some shifty moves and reasonably good hands, which should make for a good fit with the Blues and with a few roster spots open on my projected roster for St. Louis, there might be an outside chance that the gets a full-time shot, if not just topping out at a short stay through the preseason.  Fabbri was hurt at this Summer's World Junior camp for Canada, but appears to be good for training camp in a couple of weeks.

Outstanding Unsigned RFA's

There is a pretty good crop of outstanding young restricted free agents left without deals heading into September and with training camps just around the corner, it will be important to take note of where they are and even have an idea of where you want them to be, if they do sign in time.

The breakout season for Columbus' Ryan Johansen has really put some sting in the discussions between player and team on a new deal this Summer.  There have been a number of reports in the last few days in August, which were suggesting that the two camps were miles apart in their negotiations and that there is a pretty solid chance that Johansen won't be at Blue Jackets camp, when it opens in a couple weeks.  It is really disappointing, because this kid has all kinds of potential and can certainly improve upon the 33-goal & 63-point year he had in 2014.  I have boosted his numbers, but they are dependent on whether or not he'll be ready to go.

Another youngster with a tremendous amount of offensive upside that is unsigned is St. Louis forward Jaden Schwartz.  On the plus side, the 25-goal man from last season has had positive reports out of the off-season reports, as they draw closer and closer to a deal, leading up to camp.  Given the Blues' overall team-oriented offense, I don't think the sky is quite the limit for Schwartz, because the system doesn't necessarily allow him to spread his wings, but he does have the talent to make the most of the opportunities given to him.  Once the pens hit paper, he could be a decent 3rd round pick or a great 4th round pick.

Boy, did the Boston Bruins ever hit a home run with the acquisition of Reilly Smith from the Dallas Stars, which saw Tyler Seguin head the other way. Sure, Smith isn't the Seguin type and probably won't be, but he is the Bruins' type and that works out, likely even better, for the team than Seguin may have.  With that home run swing though, it came with a kid that only had one year left on his entry-level deal and now the Bruins have to figure out how much he's worth to their system.  20 goals and 51 points last season would suggest he has some value, but with limited salary cap resources, the Bruins will have trouble giving him his market value and that could be troubling.  Tread carefully, if you wanted to sneak him onto your pool team unsigned.

With how the last few seasons have gone in the draft pool, defensemen have been clutch and key components to a winning team.  The Colorado Avalanche have a future dynamo in the making in Tyson Barrie, but his 2015 season may be hiccuped by salary talks of his own.  Barrie finished 28th among all blueliners in scoring and the Avalanche are a team that will thrive on his offense, as well as the tools he can use in the offensive zone to generate assists.  There doesn't seem to be a lot of optimism that Barrie will be locked in right away, but there is still time and that seems to be the consensus.  No time to panic yet, but I would imagine that the Avs want him in as much as us poolies do.

Quietly going about his business in the Big D, forward Cody Eakin may emerge as a decent late round forward pick in this year's draft, assuming that he is signed on as well.  Eakin was good for 35 points last year and with the improvements in the Stars' line-up, he is a kid that could see some jumps in production.  The latest reports out on the interwebs suggest that Eakin and teammate Brenden Dillon, are not terribly far off getting some deals done, which would be a certain plus for both players and team, but the team isn't playing with a great deal of cap space, which may hurt negotiations in the end.  This is one of those situations where a team would certainly appreciate their youth helping out with some possible hometown discounts.

Much like Barrie above, there should be a lot of hockey pool love for Bruins defenseman Torey Krug, but that love indeed translates into dollars, which takes up cap space, something that Boston just doesn't have in this off-season.  Krug was better than Barrie in 2014 scoring, but the upside for Barrie is better and now that Oilers defenseman Justin Schultz has a deal in the $3.7 million range, the Bruins will struggle to keep Krug under their roof... or another player or two to make room for both him and Smith.  If the numbers don't add up in Boston, it will remain to be one of the more interesting stories in training camp.

Now out of his entry-level deal and a year into his tenure with the Minnesota Wild, it will be time for Nino Niederreiter to finally bust out of his shell, relatively speaking.  Niederreiter showed some offensive flashes in his first three NHL seasons, but those flashes were just that.  Yes, the kid has all kinds of speed to burn, but he is also learning how to play a more responsible game.  Year number four could be good for that, but where the negotiations land is anyone's guess.  This is a guy that needs a bridge deal, because he hasn't earned anything for the long-term, nor has he put up numbers for big money.  Why this deal isn't done yet is beyond me.  I am looking for him to improve his numbers, based solely on physical maturity, but I still don't see them being big numbers.

It may have taken some time, but Nashville Predators defenseman Ryan Ellis joins an ever-growing list of blueline prospects that have made good on their potential or better.  Okay, Ellis hasn't quite done that yet, but he has overcome the questions about his size in the NHL and he managed to play in 80 games last year, picking up a 27-point season.  Now out of his entry-level deal, Ellis is poised to re-join a fairly potent blueline corps, which already boasts some excellent young talent.  If Ellis can get a new deal done, which shouldn't be too difficult, given the Preds' cap space, I think he could emerge as a quality hockey pool option in 2015.

There is definitely some wiggle room for defenseman Eric Gelinas to push through in the Devils blueline depth chart, especially if he can put up the numbers he did in 2014, 29 points in 60 games, for 80+ games in 2015.  The 23-year old had a hard time staying in the line-up, but when he did jump in, he made up what he lacked in the physicality department with some offense.  You may not have heard too much about him last season, but if he can generate a full year in Jersey, I think he has some real potential to be a bargain player in the later rounds.

In Detroit, there is one last piece that the organization is concerned about going into camp and that is defenseman Dan DeKeyser, their NCAA-signing from a couple seasons ago.  DeKeyser has shown the team that he is capable of being an everyday defenseman in the NHL and with 23 points in 65 games last season, he has shown a bit of an offensive upside, which some people were saying was a long ways away in his game, depending more on his defensive prowess.  The Red Wings have cap space for him, but with the injury problems they had last year, they may need all the cap space they can get, which may hurt DeKeyser's chance of a long-term deal.