Monday, August 25, 2014

2015 Pool Projections: Chicago

The Chicago Blackhawks are top-heavy and the team needs a little bit of cap management before we can really be confident in what they are going to get going into this season.

If the Blackhawks were to go into the 2015 season with the projected roster below, plus another roster player, that would be it for them.  The Blackhawks would not be able to carry anyone more and they would be going into the early games on the schedule with the absolute minimum amount of players going forward.  By no means will this cost them games early on, but if there are minor injury knocks and some sub-par performances, drastic measures may have to happen to get things to work out.

As we draw closer to training camp, the rumour mill begins to ramp up names start to get tossed around.  Now, all projections below are on the assumption that these players will be playing with the Blackhawks in 2015 and there is more than likely going to be adjustments made, if some of these players were to change addresses before the puck drops in October.  The Blackhawks are poised to be an offensive powerhouse again this season and most should benefit from these scoring numbers.

Salary cap watching is fun, isn't it?

Forwards 14/15 Proj Cap Hit Defense 14/15 Proj Cap Hit Goaltenders 14/15 Proj Cap Hit
Patrick Kane 85 6.300 Duncan Keith 65 5.538 Corey Crawford 75 6.000
Jonathan Toews 80 6.300 Brent Seabrook 50 5.800 Antti Raanta 20 0.750
Patrick Sharp 75 5.900 Nick Leddy 35 2.700
Marian Hossa 70 5.275 Niklas Hjalmarsson 25 4.100
Brad Richards 60 2.000 Johnny Oduya 15 3.383
Brandon Saad 55 0.764 Michal Rozsival 10 2.200
Kris Versteeg 35 2.200
Andrew Shaw 35 2.000
Marcus Kruger 25 1.325
Ben Smith 20 1.500
Bryan Bickell 10 4.000
COUNT 11 COUNT 6 COUNT 2
SUBTOTAL 37.564 SUBTOTAL 23.722 SUBTOTAL 6.750
BUYOUTS & OTHER 0.060
TOTAL 68.096
PLAYERS 19 CAP SPACE 0.904
Teuvo Teravainen 55 0.894 David Rundblad 15 0.785
Jeremy Morin 20 0.800
Matt Carey 5 0.925
Joakim Nordstrom 5 0.617

First Round Picks

The Chicago Blackhawks are a host of 1st round potential.  Enough said.  No, but seriously, when you take Patrick Kane and Jonathan Toews, who should be locks for an opening round pick, you take Corey Crawford, who could win just about all of his starts and then sprinkle in some potential from Patrick Sharp or Duncan Keith, this year could be pretty thin on Chicago talent across the board.

Most Intriguing or Breakout Player

How does the most dynamic team get more intriguing, you ask?  Well, the answer is simple.  Add some more natural talent.

The highly-touted rookie Teuvo Teravainen is a definite Calder Trophy possibility and the Blackhawks may have the chance to add him to their roster full-time and he would be that roster player that would pretty well take up the rest of the salary cap space that I had mentioned earlier.  Teravainen did get a quick 3-game showcase at the end of the regular season, but failed to register a point.  I don't think that puts a damper on anything, as his potential has been well publicized and it could be a good time to get in on the ground floor.

Other Pool Worthy Forwards

Well, if you need my help for the pool worthy forwards out of the Blackhawks organization, I would have to assume that the rock you live under is fully furnished and very comfortable.  It is a lot of the usual suspects, with the addition of Brad Richards to the mix, who you'll find waiting for you at the draft table in September.  Chicago remains a very solid option for both early round and mid-round picks.  Marian Hossa and Brandon Saad should be picked at reasonable times and should stay relatively consistent through the year.

Other Pool Worthy Defense

There are a few more tasty options on the blueline from Chicago, as Brent Seabrook, Nick Leddy and Niklas Hjalmarsson will all be prized defenders at the draft this year and should all be decent picks, assuming everyone stays healthy.  I wouldn't want to go too thin on Blackhawks defenders, as ice-time will be limited to the 5-6 pairing, which doesn't translate into points.

Goaltending Situation

Yes, Crawford is a potential 1st round pick, should he keep the minutes under his side of the ledger, but Antti Raanta should be a more than capable back-up, providing decent minutes and a certain amount of points, equal to the amount of minutes he ends up with.  If you wanted to bet on Crawford having a tough time this season, Raanta's stock could increase.

Team To Pick From Late?

You have to know that the Blackhawks top six will be picked apart quite quickly, but I think there will be some admission that their third line is better than some team's top six or at least their second line.  Yeah, you may want to consider some fringe Blackhawks players for your team, but only if you're really desperate.

Unsigned Players and Salary Cap

Salary CapIf the Blackhawks had any more restricted free agents to sign, they would be in even more trouble than they are right now.  No, the free agents are all done for this team and with a projected roster of only 19 players, I have this team with only $904,000 left in cap space, just barely enough to slide Teravainen in.  If the rookie was to hit all of his bonuses this season, he would also put a serious dent in next year's cap number, something the Blackhawks may be weary about as well.

Injuries

Even after a long playoff run last season, it doesn't appear that the Blackhawks are in bad shape, health-wise.  They should have a full roster going into camp.

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