Friday, September 15, 2017

Fringe Signings (Sep 15)

The last few restricted free agents are now starting to miss out on some valuable training camp time, which will likely lead to missing preseason hockey and that's a tough hill to climb, when the season starts. Friday afternoon saw one more RFA drop, as the Avalanche and defenseman Nikita Zadorov agreed to terms on a 2-year, $4.2 million deal.

The 22-year old is slowly starting to find his legs in the NHL and last season, he was able to post 10 assists in 56 games for an underachieving Avalanche team, so with the promise of being a little bit better, there is an upside to snuggle up close to being pool worthy in the 2018 season.

The current projections across the board have him at the 15-point level, which is a bit short in the conversation, but that could be more about the team around him, more than anything.  He'll be a guy to keep an eye on during the season.

Afternoon Training Camp Injury Notes (Sep 15)

It has been reported byt the Wild coaching staff as a minor tweak of the back, but Minnesota forward Zach Parise is already laid up a bit in training camp and today was the first full day of camp. It sounds like the injury occurred in the testing process, but he's only considered to be day-to-day, staying off the ice on Friday and they'll likely be playing this by ear as the days go on.

Parise's 2017 season was cut short by injury as well, keeping him to only 69 games and his current scoring trend is going the wrong way for the 33-year old.  The current projections are nowhere near his career highs and with Minnesota finding some talent in a lot of their youth, he'll be finding it harder and harder to get that ice-time, especially if a back problem persists.

The Anaheim Ducks updated their three key injured players on Friday, as the team hit the ice for training camp sessions.

Ryan Kesler's recovery from off-season hip surgery appears to need a little bit more time than originally anticipated, suggesting that Kesler might not be back until December now, which is well past the 12 weeks for recovery in June.  It appears that he is not going to be a viable pick-up at the draft at the end of the month, more of a mid-season replacement.

Both Hampus Lindholm and Sami Vatanen had off-season shoulder surgeries and it was thought that Vatanen might be a little bit longer to recover, but the team is targeting a November 1st return for both players, give or take some time either way.  The Ducks play 11 games in October and that is a significant chunk of time to take away from your pool team, if you want to gamble on these guys, but if they are your fourth defenseman in the draft, it might not be too bad.

Thursday, September 14, 2017

Fringe Signings (Sep 14)

One more restricted free agent signing dropped on Thursday, just ahead of most training camps being open and that was in Minnesota, where Marcus Foligno and the Wild came to terms on a 4-year, $11.5 million deal.

Last season, Foligno was ranked 243rd among all forwards in scoring, not too far from the top 200, with 13 goals and 23 points in 80 games in Minnesota.  The 26-year old has worked his way into becoming a solid role player in the NHL and I figure he should remain in the 25-point range or so and should play every night again this year.

At best in the pool, however, he's probably going to be a mid-season injury swap, since he doesn't project high enough to be in the initial draft.

Recent Contract Extensions (Sep 14)

The threat of unrestricted free agency can weigh heavy on a player or a team in a contract year, but now that is something that Winnipeg Jets forward Bryan Little doesn't have to worry about, after signing a 6-year contract extension, which will take him through the 2024 season.

Last season, the 29-year old was good for 47 points in only 59 games, which suggests that if healthy, he could produce some real offense through 80 games or so.  He is, however, on my Injury Prone List and would preach caution with a player like this, but the Jets are optimistic that he can turn his health around and be the guy they need for a long playoff run.

Bruins Finally Lock Down Pastrnak



The Boston Bruins still had one of their deadliest snipers sitting at home in the Czech Republic this week, only days ahead of training camp opening up, without a new deal and not coming without one signed.  The reports through the media were getting very nervous and somewhat uncertain that a deal would get done, but some frantic work overnight saw a deal done and now David Pastrnak will be a Bruins player for the next six years.

The word came down on Thursday morning, that the 21-year old avoided signing a bridge deal, rather signing the long-term pact, reportedly worth $40 million, a $6.667 million cap hit per season.  It didn't quite make him the highest paid player on the team, but it's certainly close.

Last season, Pastrnak broke out, scoring 34 goals and 70 points in 75 games played, good enough for 29th overall in hockey pool scoring and was 15th among all forwards.  His stock was already on the rise, but riding shotgun with the emerging Brad Marchand certainly helped both players, as they shot up the rankings together.

Now, with the young gun signed on, the Bruins can now concentrate on improving their standing in the Atlantic Division and making another big push in the playoffs.

Player Pos 17/18 Proj Rookie
Brad Marchand F 75 N
David Pastrnak F 70 N
Tuukka Rask G 60 N
David Krejci F 60 N
Patrice Bergeron F 60 N
Torey Krug D 50 N
Ryan Spooner F 45 N
David Backes F 40 N
Charles McAvoy D 40 Y
Zdeno Chara D 30 N
Jake DeBrusk F 25 Y
Matt Beleskey F 20 N
Brandon Carlo D 20 N
Anton Khudobin G 15 N
Frank Vatrano F 15 N
Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson F 15 Y
Noel Acciari F 15 N
Riley Nash F 15 N
Tim Schaller F 15 N
Kevan Miller D 15 N
Adam McQuaid D 10 N
Paul Postma D 10 N
Peter Cehlarik F 5 Y
Sean Kuraly F 5 Y

It was getting a bit sketchy, with Pastrnak unsigned this long, but the deal getting done has pushed him up near the top of the Bruins' projections for the year and he has pushed Peter Cehlarik down out of my projected 23-man roster as well.  With training camps now opening up across the league, with testing and physicals today, we'll start to see some real movement in these projected rosters here soon.  Get ready to adjust your projections accordingly.

The way I see this Bruins lineup shaking out sees them with only about $1.8 million in unused cap space for the rest of the season, which isn't a great deal, but the value does go up, the further that space is invested into the season.  The Bruins have a pretty good looking team on paper and coming in under the ceiling does make it look even better.

Wednesday, September 13, 2017

Noon Training Camp Injury Notes (Sep 13)

Training camps for most teams, are set to get started tomorrow with testing and on-ice sessions to start on Friday. Ahead of the testing, the Columbus Blue Jackets will be without forward Boone Jenner to start, as he is suffering from what the team calls a middle-body injury and he's currently day-to-day.  There doesn't appear to be anything in this report that would suggest that he will be missing any preseason action, but it does mean that he'll be held out of the first few days of camp.

Jenner is thought to be a pool worthy player this season, as my initial projections suggest a 40-point season, while the Hockey News thinks a bit more of him, setting the bar at 46 points.  That's a decent mid-range pick in the draft, so he would be one to keep an eye on in camp.

Monday, September 11, 2017

Afternoon Off-Season Injury Notes (Sep 11)

The Ottawa Senators held their annual golf tournament on Monday, ahead of all the training camp festivities, and in doing so, the media got their pens ready for captain Erik Karlsson, who suggested that he is still two or three weeks away from getting back on the ice from his foot surgery and the recovery from said surgery has forced him from a lot of his off-season training and he is nowhere near game ready.

With all of that being said now, what is the expectation for the return of the dynamic defenseman?  Well, it could be as late as November, before Karlsson returns to active duty and the Senators play a total of 12 games in the month of October, nearly 15% of their games.

In my projections, that will take his numbers down by about two brackets, 10 points, down to the 65-point range, which is still a pretty high pick, but I don't think I would take him in the 1st round now, especially if I have to wait until November to get my top pick in the lineup.

Morning Off-Season Injury Notes (Sep 11)

With training camps set to open this week, the Pittsburgh Penguins received some good news on Sunday, as defenseman Kris Letang has been cleared to start camp, following surgery to repair a herniated disc in his neck last season. Letang wasn't able to compete in the Penguins' Stanley Cup run, but if they are going to have a chance at three straight Cups, he will be a very important piece of the puzzle.

He continues to be on my Injury Prone List, year after year, so you should know the risks of picking him up for your hockey pool team.

My most intriguing player for the Buffalo Sabres in this off-season, rookie forward Alexander Nylander, was hurt during the Traverse City rookie tournament over the weekend, suffering a lower-body injury.  The tournament should be concluding today and Nylander wasn't set to be a part of it, likely trying to save him for the start of training camp.

He's still one to watch for me, as the Sabres have made a lot of positive moves again in this off-season and it will be a kid like Nylander that really shows how much better this team will really be.

Severson Signs For Devils Camp



Have no fear!  Damon Severson will be in the New Jersey Devils training camp after all!  Early on Monday morning, the restricted free agent agreed to terms with his club on a 6-year, $25 million contract, ensuring that the 23-year old rear guard will be in training camp, when it opens later on this week.

Severson was one of the last few big restricted free agents left on the board, heading into training camp week and there were probably some uncomfortable feelings heading into this week, before this deal was done and dusted.  He figures to be the team's top defenseman this season, as his career trajectory is finally taking off.

Last season, Severson played in 80 games, scoring 3 goals and 31 points on a Devils team that left a little bit to be desired, but he was still good enough to be 51st among all defensemen in scoring.

The Devils have had a pretty good run of luck in this off-season, which has led to some positive changes on paper, adding the top pick in the summer's entry draft, being able to pluck a top end forward from a team in cap troubles and also trying to add some key pieces through free agency.  There isn't a lot in New Jersey that would suggest they are a playoff bound team in 2018, but they are moving in the right direction again... finally!

Player Pos 17/18 Proj Rookie
Cory Schneider G 65 N
Kyle Palmieri F 55 N
Taylor Hall F 55 N
Marcus Johansson F 50 N
Adam Henrique F 45 N
Nico Hischier F 45 Y
Damon Severson D 35 N
Drew Stafford F 30 N
John Quenneville F 30 Y
Pavel Zacha F 30 N
Michael McLeod F 25 Y
Brian Boyle F 20 N
Joseph Blandisi F 20 N
John Moore D 20 N
Mirco Mueller D 20 N
Keith Kinkaid G 15 N
Miles Wood F 15 N
Travis Zajac F 15 N
Andy Greene D 15 N
Ben Lovejoy D 15 N
Dalton Prout D 10 N
Steven Santini D 10 N
Blake Speers F 5 Y
Nick Lappin F 5 N
Brian Strait D 5 N

Making sure that Severson is in the lineup is a big gain to the team's even strength play and all indications would suggest that he would pair up with his usual partner from the 2017 season, Andy Greene, forming the team's top pairing.  The Devils can certainly make some gains, if some of these new faces can find some early chemistry and that should boost the numbers of Severson, Greene and possibly even Ben Lovejoy in the back end, but those are a lot of if's to hang your hat on.  Let's see how camp goes, shall we?

The Devils are not exactly in cap trouble, as they won't even have to dip into their LTIR help, with Ryane Clowe retiring on the shelf and Travis Zajac on for the foreseeable future with a serious pectoral injury.  Even with their two cap hits on the board and a full 23-man projected roster, the Devils still have $8.8 million in unused space.  I would be looking at them to gain a few more assets at the deadline this year.

Sunday, September 10, 2017

Handing Out Camp Invites (Sep 10)

One of the top unrestricted free agent defensemen has found a home, but only on a tryout basis. 30-year old Cody Franson has signed on to join the Blackhawks training camp this month and he'll try to crack a blueline that might have an extra bubble player or two.  The Blackhawks do have some projected open cap space, which could be ear-marked for Franson, but he's the kind of player that could price himself out of Chicago, if he's not careful.

Last season, Franson finished 88th among all defensemen in scoring, picking up 3 goals and 19 points in 68 games with the Sabres.  He's currently the only pool worthy player from last season on a PTO, but there's still lots of time before camp starts, so we'll see what happens with other free agents.

Friday, September 08, 2017

Canucks Finally Lock Down Horvat



The Vancouver Canucks understood that the contract negotiations for their new face of the franchise were going to take some time, but I'm sure there were a few fans and people in the organization that may have been white-knuckling through the days that Bo Horvat didn't have a deal in place.  Well, on Friday, the relief came, when it was announced that Horvat and the Canucks agreed upon a 6-year, $33 million deal.

Last season, the 22-year old led the Canucks in scoring, finishing the year with 20 goals and 52 points, playing in 81 games, ranking him 107th overall in pool scoring, 81st among all forwards.

Currently, his career numbers have been trending upwards and they should continue to do so, but with a number of new faces and some uncertainty about how the Canucks lineup will eventually pan out, I would hesitate to bump him up too far.  Horvat was mainly paired with Sven Baertschi last season and he also spent a good portion of time with Brock Boeser at the end of the season, both of whom will be back in a Canucks uniform this season, so they may try to piggy back on some already generated chemistry.

Player Pos 17/18 Proj Rookie
Bo Horvat F 55 N
Jacob Markstrom G 50 N
Daniel Sedin F 50 N
Henrik Sedin F 50 N
Brock Boeser F 45 Y
Thomas Vanek F 45 N
Sam Gagner F 40 N
Sven Baertschi F 40 N
Brandon Sutter F 35 N
Loui Eriksson F 35 N
Markus Granlund F 30 N
Alexander Edler D 30 N
Ben Hutton D 30 N
Anders Nilsson G 20 N
Reid Boucher F 20 N
Michael Del Zotto D 20 N
Olli Juolevi D 20 Y
Troy Stecher D 20 N
Brendan Gaunce F 15 N
Nikolay Goldobin F 15 N
Christopher Tanev D 15 N
Alexander Burmistrov F 10 N
Derek Dorsett F 10 N
Erik Gudbranson D 10 N
Jayson Megna F 5 N
Michael Chaput F 5 N

Like a number of these late summer restricted free agent signings, numbers were already adjusted for the eventual signing of these players, so there won't be a huge number of adjustments to these numbers.  Horvat goes back to the top of the list, while Michael Chaput was the guy that fell off the projected roster in my notes, just for those wondering.  It will definitely be interesting to see who lines up with the twins and the third line will likely be highlighted by Brandon Sutter and there will be plenty to choose from for linemates for him as well.

Well, the Canucks appear to have a pretty filled up roster and some reasonable depth, heading into training camp and my current iteration of their projected 23-man roster still gives them $2.3 million in unused cap space to start the season.  The new deal for Horvat gives the Canucks all sorts of cap flexibility for the seasons beyond 2018, especially with the Sedin twins heading for unrestricted free agency next season.

The Pool Worthy Goon Squad

The mini-game wheel is ready to spin and we're only a few weeks away from doing so, but not before picking our hockey pool teams at the draft.  We have been fortunate, in my opinion, to have seen the PIM Pool hit in the last couple of years, because that does add a much different element to the Waiver Drafts and it's really fun to watch during the year.

I had done this kind of post back in 2015, just ahead of the first time we had the PIM Pool, pre-announced before the draft, which was rectified by the mini-game wheel the next year, but I did up this post to give an idea of what kind of players you may want to consider, if you want the chance to win your money back in the pool, if the overall points crap shoot doesn't go your way.

So, what I've done is I've separated the pool worthy players, the top 200 forwards, top 100 defensemen and top 50 goalies and then sorted them by their minutes in penalties and voila!  Here is the team that you could finish 14th in the draft and then run away with the PIM Pool, nearly doubling the winner's total from last season.

Forward NHL Points PIM
Wayne Simmonds PHI 54 122
Evander Kane BUF 43 113
Andrew Shaw MTL 29 110
Matthew Tkachuk CAL 48 105
Nazem Kadri TOR 62 95
Patrick Maroon EDM 42 95
Brandon Dubinsky CBJ 41 91
Josh Anderson CBJ 29 89
   
Defense NHL Points PIM
Dustin Byfuglien WPG 52 117
Dion Phaneuf OTT 30 100
Radko Gudas PHI 23 93
Josh Manson ANA 17 82
   
Goalies NHL Points PIM
Ryan Miller ANA 43 22
Frederik Andersen TOR 75 16
   
588 1,250

Patrick Maroon, Dustin Byfuglien and Dion Phaneuf all make repeat appearances, between the 2015 and 2017 list. There are a few too many players that were sub-30 points on this list to be too good for the overall money, but what can you do? You're going to win your money back anyways.

Well, unless someone doesn't turn around and draft a team like this, just purely for the minutes...

Forward NHL Points PIM
Cody McLeod NAS 6 145
Tom Wilson WAS 19 133
Micheal Haley SAN 12 128
Matt Martin TOR 9 123
Antoine Roussel DAL 27 115
Ryan Reaves PIT 13 104
Zack Kassian EDM 24 101
Austin Watson NAS 17 99
   
Defense NHL Points PIM
Mark Borowiecki OTT 3 154
Deryk Engelland VGK 16 85
Luke Schenn ARI 8 85
Brandon Manning PHI 12 83
   
Goalies NHL Points PIM
Mike Smith CAL 44 14
Devan Dubnyk MIN 90 10
300 1,379

Thursday, September 07, 2017

Off-Season Injury News (Sep 7)

The Nashville Predators announced on Thursday that the recovery for defenseman Ryan Ellis, from off-season knee surgery, has not gone very well and he could be out of the lineup for upwards of six more months.  Ellis went for surgery shortly after the Stanley Cup Finals and it was thought that it would only need the summer for a recovery, but that doesn't appear to be the case, as the diagnosis was showing that he's out for the next 4-to-6 month, which will limit him to coming back in the New Year.

The Predators also said that they won't be pushing forward Nick Bonino in the preseason, after he suffered a broken leg in the playoffs as well.  Bonino isn't expected to play in the preseason, but there is an expectation that he will be ready for the start of the regular season.

Ellis' projections obviously will take a hit with this news, where I had him lifting up to the 40-point range, I now have him out of the conversation at 15 points, when he returns.  I can see increases on Matt Irwin and Alexei Emelin in Ellis' absence, so I would be inclined to bump them up a 5-point bracket or so.

Bonino might not have the same downward trend, but I think not playing in any preseason games may hinder his start, so I am taking his projections down a peg to 30 points.


Back-Up Goalie Questions

The goalie survivor pool is probably my favourite mini-game of the bunch, since I instituted them a couple of seasons ago.  It certainly helps to have a pair of starting goalies, but in Stacey M.'s case, the winner of last season's mini-game, you can certainly get away with a good starter and a very good back-up goalie as well.

We're not all going to get a couple of starting goalies, well, at least not a couple of projected starting goalies, who knows how the start of the season will go, right?  So, if we're at least prepared to not take two goalies in the first two rounds of the draft, like five teams did last season, then you will have to likely be prepared to look at some back-ups down the road.

In doing that, you're going to also have to keep an eye on a handful of teams that do have some back-up goalie questions, heading into training camp.  I would say that there are five teams, currently, that have some back-up goalie questions and some that could swing the other way and catch you off-guard on draft day.

Ottawa Proj Pittsburgh Proj Los Angeles Proj Winnipeg Proj Chicago Proj
Craig Anderson 65 Matt Murray 90 Jonathan Quick 75 Steve Mason 65 Corey Crawford 80
Mike Condon 40 Tristan Jarry 10 Jeff Zatkoff 15 Connor Hellebuyck 30 J-F Berube 15
Andrew Hammond 0 Antti Niemi 10 Darcy Kuemper 0 Michael Hutchinson 10 Anton Forsberg 15

I'm not sure there was any better of an example of a back-up that came through in the clutch, when the number one was down, better than Mike Condon in Ottawa.  Acquired from Montreal earlier in the season, he was huge when Craig Anderson had to leave the team for family reasons and he ended up with a pretty good season of his own.  Of course, Anderson eventually came back and stole the show through the playoff run, but they wouldn't have been there, if it wasn't for Condon.

It doesn't sound like Condon has too much to worry about, but the 2016 season was Andrew Hammond's time to shine and if he can find the form from the season previous, the Senators would have a real battle on their hands, one that may need a trade out of town to sort out, moving one of these keepers to a team that may struggle out of the gates or suffer a major injury of their own.

The Penguins have a very interesting dynamic in behind Matt Murray, as they have been home-growing Tristan Jarry to be a part of this organization and they have also gone out and spent some money in the free agent market, picking up former Stanley Cup winner in Antti Niemi.  Niemi's struggles in Dallas, whether or not you believe it was either him or the team in front of him, has me leaning towards Jarry taking the job, but the safe money would be on Niemi to earn the job, keeping that experience around.

The Kings also added a little bit of NHL experience to their back-up race as well, via the free agent market, as they gave a flyer to former Minnesota keeper, Darcy Kuemper, who will battle with Jeff Zatkoff for that spot on the bench behind Jonathan Quick.  Zatkoff, the incumbent in the position, wasn't great in the spot last season, making 13 appearances and only coming away with 2 wins, while Kuemper fared much better last season with the Wild and could usurp the position through camp.  I have Zatkoff in the spot, but obviously, that could change.

The goaltending situation in Winnipeg should be much clearer with Steve Mason in as the number one, since neither Connor Hellebuyck or Michael Hutchinson couldn't step up and grab the job last season.  Those two will battle it out for the regular back-up spot and the loser may have to pass through waivers to get down to the AHL, which could also open up a chance somewhere else, if the opportunity arises.  I would wait to see how training camp goes before you slot these two in in your rankings.

Finally, it's an open audition for the back-up job in Chicago, as a couple new faces to the organization have the clean shots at the job.  Former Islanders goalie J-F Berube and former Blue Jackets keeper Anton Forsberg will be the two going at it in Blackhawks camp and it's probably going to be a good spot to be in.  The Blackhawks should be quite competitive again this season and a back-up goalie, much like Scott Darling was the guy last year, can be a top 40 goalie in the hockey pool.  This will be an important training camp to watch in this case.

Wednesday, September 06, 2017

Flames Bridge Bennett



The Calgary Flames have officially added Sam Bennett back in the mix, getting what they needed out of their negotiations with the 21-year old, a 2-year bridge contract.

On Wednesday, the Flames and the restricted free agent forward came to terms on a 2-year, $3.9 million deal, which will work out to be a cap hit of $1.95 million per season, a very generous and flexible move by the player, which should give him ample motivation to earn that key long-term deal down the road and help the Flames in the short-term with their cap situation.

Thanks to appearing in playoff games in the 2014 season, Bennett's entry-level deal did not slide an extra year, which brought him a year closer to free agency and they had to cross that bridge this summer, negotiating a new deal with him.

Last season, it was a trying year for the kid, only scoring 13 goals and 26 points in 81 games with the club, but there is still certainly some upside to be had with him.

Player Pos 17/18 Proj Rookie
Mike Smith G 80 N
Johnny Gaudreau F 70 N
Sean Monahan F 60 N
Mikael Backlund F 50 N
Sam Bennett F 50 N
Dougie Hamilton D 50 N
TJ Brodie D 45 N
Kris Versteeg F 40 N
Matthew Tkachuk F 40 N
Michael Frolik F 40 N
Mark Giordano D 40 N
Eddie Lack G 25 N
Curtis Lazar F 25 N
Micheal Ferland F 25 N
Matt Stajan F 20 N
Troy Brouwer F 20 N
Michael Stone D 20 N
Mark Jankowski F 15 Y
Travis Hamonic D 15 N
Oliver Kylington D 10 Y
Freddie Hamilton F 5 N
Hunter Shinkaruk F 5 N
Brett Kulak D 5 N
Matt Bartkowski D 5 N
Rasmus Andersson D 5 Y

I think it was fair to assume that the deal was going to get done here and so projections were already in place for Bennett in the 50-point range this year.  That will be a solid jump for him and he'll certainly be under the microscope in his third full regular season.  Getting squeezed out, however, I would imagine that Hunter Shinkaruk will be the regular call-up during the season, when injuries strike, but his original projections sort of had that thought process in place.

The Flames blueline is going to be where the bubble bounces a bit, as I can see them carrying eight players out of training camp, as they try and massage the minutes for their depth.  Rasmus Andersson, Oliver Kylington and Matt Bartkowski are going to be wrestling for the number six minutes and it will likely come down to performance versus waiver eligibility, when it is all said and done.  Andersson and Kylington can still head down to the AHL without waivers, which could make that decision much easier.  Nevertheless, I can see them carry these three, shortening up the forwards a bit and still leaving $1.4 million in unused cap space.

Handing Out Camp Invites (Sep 8)

There have been a few new names entered into the list as professional tryouts on teams, but one that really stood out was the Red Wings offering a training camp spot to veteran forward P-A Parenteau on Wednesday.  Parenteau split the 2017 season between New Jersey and Nashville, also appearing in five games with the Predators in their run to the Stanley Cup Finals.

His regular season numbers were just on the fringe of being pool worthy, as the 34-year old played in 67 games, scored 13 goals and 28 points.

The Red Wings are in salary cap hell at the moment and will be struggling to fit some salaries in, but if Parenteau can somehow break through in camp, more things might have to happen in the coming days.

Tuesday, September 05, 2017

Fringe Signings (Sep 5)

A ways back on Sunday, the Arizona Coyotes and forward Anthony Duclair came to terms on a 1-year, $1.2 million deal, bringing the restricted free agent back into the fold for another season.

The 22-year old is coming off a bit of a hiccup year, where he wasn't seeing the production in his game and that cost his everyday job with the Coyotes for a while, heading back to the AHL for a 16-game stint. By the end of the season, Duclair finished with 58 games played with the Coyotes, scoring 5 goals and 15 points.

This season, the expectation is that he will have somewhat of a bounce back year and get into the 30-point range again.  In the 2016 season, he was a 44-point player, well into the pool worthiness conversation, but with the up-and-coming talent in the Coyotes organization, his ice-time may be the biggest question for the year.

Saturday, September 02, 2017

Wennberg Re-Signs For Six



Friday also saw one of the big restricted free agents finally come off the list, as the Columbus Blue Jackets re-signed forward Alexander Wennberg to a big 6-year contract.  The deal carries a cap hit of $4.9 million per season, which works out to be $29.4 million in total.

The 22-year old came off his biggest season yet with the Jackets, scoring 13 goals and 59 points in 80 games, good enough for 62nd overall in pool scoring and 42nd among all forwards.

Wennberg is going to be in for a bit of change in the upcoming 2018 season, as his club traded away one of his key linemates from last season, Brandon Saad.  According to the DobberHockey fantasy site, Wennberg and Saad were combined with Nick Foligno for nearly the majority of Wennberg's ice-time last season and all three were fairly successful in that lineup.  The Wennberg and Foligno pairing may still be intact when training camp and the regular season rolls in, but it will be interesting to see who will slot in for Saad.

Player Pos 17/18 Proj Rookie
Sergei Bobrovsky G 90 N
Artemi Panarin F 65 N
Cam Atkinson F 65 N
Alexander Wennberg F 55 N
Nick Foligno F 50 N
Pierre-Luc Dubois F 45 Y
Seth Jones D 45 N
Boone Jenner F 40 N
Brandon Dubinsky F 35 N
Zach Werenski D 35 N
David Savard D 30 N
Matt Calvert F 25 N
Jack Johnson D 25 N
Ryan Murray D 25 N
Tyler Motte F 20 N
Joonas Korpisalo G 15 N
Lukas Sedlak F 15 N
Jordan Schroeder F 10 N
Markus Hannikainen F 10 Y
Markus Nutivaara D 10 N
Sonny Milano F 5 Y
Zac Dalpe F 5 N
Scott Harrington D 5 N

The uncertainty of the lineup, heading into this coming season does have my projections down a little for Wennberg, but he will be part of a pretty lethal offense that the Jackets have put together.  If Wennberg can find some chemistry with newcomer Artemi Panarin, who was the other half of the Brandon Saad trade, these projections could be left in the dust.  If Panarin can find the same stride that he had in Chicago here, then most everyone on this list will certainly benefit from his play.

The Jackets still have RFA Josh Anderson left to sign in this off-season, but I am showing this team with plenty of wiggle room left to work with.  My current 23-man projected roster is still leaving management with a shade over $7 million in unused cap space.  Anderson won't cost near that much, but whatever they don't use will be very helpful, if they can string another big run together.

Friday, September 01, 2017

Vanek Signs With Canucks



Well, if the Vancouver Canucks wanted to stay reasonably competitive in a year where they are rebuilding and retooling, the unrestricted free agent signing of Thomas Vanek should help them achieve that minor goal.  Vanek and the Canucks agree upon a 1-year, $2 million deal on Friday, adding some scoring depth and a veteran presence to a team that lacked in both.

The 33-year old Austrian split the 2017 season between the Red Wings and Panthers, playing in 68 games, scoring 17 goals and 48 points, good enough for 99th among all forwards in scoring in a year, where he played for two non-playoff teams.  Vanek also missed time to hip and ankle injuries in the year, but it sounds like he should be 100% for the start of the season.

Vanek certainly won't be the cure to all the Canucks' woes heading into the 2018 season, by any stretch of the imagination.  His streaky scoring will hit and miss, here and there, but it's all so up in the air, if we can figure who his regular 5-on-5 linemates will be or even how much power play time he will find.  Time will tell, but I'm only thinking conservative estimates for him right now.

Player Pos 17/18 Proj Rookie
Jacob Markstrom G 50 N
Daniel Sedin F 50 N
Henrik Sedin F 50 N
Brock Boeser F 45 Y
Thomas Vanek F 45 N
Sam Gagner F 40 N
Sven Baertschi F 40 N
Brandon Sutter F 35 N
Loui Eriksson F 35 N
Markus Granlund F 30 N
Alexander Edler D 30 N
Ben Hutton D 30 N
Anders Nilsson G 20 N
Reid Boucher F 20 N
Michael Del Zotto D 20 N
Olli Juolevi D 20 Y
Troy Stecher D 20 N
Brendan Gaunce F 15 N
Nikolay Goldobin F 15 N
Christopher Tanev D 15 N
Alexander Burmistrov F 10 N
Derek Dorsett F 10 N
Erik Gudbranson D 10 N
Jayson Megna F 5 N
Michael Chaput F 5 N

The addition of Vanek to the projected points list is certainly going to take its toll on a few players, like an Alex Burmistrov or possibly even a Markus Granlund.  Granlund was the closest of the two that could have made the hockey pool draft, but he now seems like a bit of a stretch with the veteran coming to town now.  There are so few spots in the top nine and with Bo Horvat yet to sign his new extension, there's still some changes left to happen yet.

Well, I've added Vanek and bounced Jayson Megna from my projected 23-man roster, which leaves the Canucks with $7.1 million in unused space at this point in time.  There are a few bubble players and I currently have Olli Juolevi occupying the last blueline spot, for what that's worth, so there are possibilities one way or another out there.  Nevertheless, the Canucks have some room to move, to sign Horvat and maybe get creative at the deadline too.  A good rebuilding team can always make good use of extra cap space.

Pool Worthy Restricted Free Agents Still on the Shelf

Last year at this time, the list of unsigned restricted free agents was actually quite stunning and there was some 11th hour work done by NHL teams to finally lure players back into their respective jerseys and for one of those players, Valeri Nichushkin, he opted to go back home to Russia, where he'll play for another season in 2018.

This time around, we have a good number of top end free agents still negotiating or playing some serious hardball, which is already leading the rumour mill down the usual dark path of potential trades and other miscellaneous unrest.

Most of the names on the list were pointed out already on the pool projection posts that I had put up a couple of weeks ago, but this is just a quick refresher, as we're now a month away from the draft and you may or may not have already started your homework.  It's probably good to know where they stand, as training camps are opening in a couple of weeks as well.

The slick scoring David Pastrnak has been the biggest focus of trade rumours since the middle of August, as the Bruins may struggle to convince the 21-year old, who scored 34 goals last season, that he may need to bridge out a deal to help the team's cap situation for a couple of years. With players at this age now getting paid, it could be a really tough sell.  The latest from the beginning of the week was suggesting that the Bruins have offered up $6 million per season over numerous years, but it still sounds like it's a bit short.

The projections in place for Pastrnak are suggesting that he could certainly repeat his 70-point performance in the 2018 season and that would make him into a solid 2nd round pick in this year's pool draft.  This also has the best chance of a long-term holdout coming too, which would certainly decimate his overall pool value.

One of last season's big bargain picks in the hockey pool draft, Alexander Wennberg of the Columbus Blue Jackets, may still be flying under the radar to some, but soon, he likely will be a household name.

The 22-year old Swede finished last season ranked 62nd overall in pool scoring, 42nd among all forwards and Stacey C. was able to snag him with an 11th round pick (252nd overall) in last year's draft. That's almost 200 spots better than his draft selection and his trajectory is certainly heading in the right direction.

The Hockey News has him projected at 62 points for the coming season and that's going to be a pretty hefty price tag to match up to, something the Blue Jackets are going to have to consider for the long-term, I'm thinking.

A cornerstone piece in Vancouver is still left unsigned at this point in the summer, but the contract talks with Bo Horvat and the Canucks have been reported to be on track.

Horvat has been making strides in the right direction over his first three seasons with the Canucks, hitting career-high marks last season with 20 goals and 52 points in 81 games.

With the trend line still going up for the 22-year old, it is expected that the new deal will be of the long-term variety and if the reports of good communication between the two sides is true, it shouldn't be very long now.

I think we're all in agreement, that this is a huge year for Sam Bennett and his future with the Flames.  The first hurdle, however, is the contract that is going to allow him to play this season.

The Flames are not exactly in the best shape, cap-wise, to give Bennett something long-term, nor has his numbers given him much of a leg to stand on in negotiations for a long-term deal, so a quick bridge deal would be ideal for both team and player.

Once Bennett is locked into a deal though, however long it turns out to be, he can finally start realizing more of that potential that made him the 4th overall pick in the 2014 entry draft.

The Detroit Red Wings and their salary cap hell that they are going through this off-season has been keeping them from signing one of their key restricted free agents, forward Andreas Athanasiou, and there have been some rumblings that this could cause the 23-year old to depart to Russia for the year.  There is allegedly an offer on the table from the KHL, but the player wants to stay in North America, if at all possible, and so we wait.

There have been all kinds of rumours about the Red Wings still trying to make a deal or two to help their cap situation and they might to make more than one, if they can't open up that extra space for this dynamic winger.

Last season, Athanasiou picked up 18 goals in 64 games played with Detroit and the Wings can ill-afford to be without him, if they wish to be competitive this season, otherwise, it's going to be a very long season in the new Little Caesar's Arena.

The Devils are not struggling with their cap numbers, if you were to believe they weren't a budget team, but they do have to determine how much of a long-term piece of the puzzle Damon Severson will be down the road.

Severson's scoring trend has certainly been going the right way since he jumped into the league full-time in the 2015 season and once signed, he will be expected to eclipse his career-high in points, which he set at 31 last year.  That was good enough for 51st among all defenders, which means he has some real upside to be realized yet.

I am expecting a long-term deal for Severson, as he's a big piece of their future and he certainly has the talent to be the guy for them.  I think it will only get better for him, once the team around him improves to playoff level as well.

Columbus forward Josh Anderson rounds out the list of players that were pool worthy last season and still unsigned.  The 23-year old finally made the jump to the full-time roster last season after a couple of seasons making some brief appearances and he did not disappoint, when he finally made it.  A 17-goal season was a good reward for the team that showed him some faith in having him up there.

Now, the Blue Jackets have to figure out where he's going to play this season and how much that is worth to them.  Unlike Wennberg above, Anderson is more of a depth/role guy, who had some upside to him last season and he would be the sort of player that would likely benefit from a bridge deal, adding the motivation of earning a long-term contract and the team could slide him into their budget easily.

The early projections on the season don't see Anderson reaching the pool worthy heights again, but maybe that bridge deal is what he needs to show us all up.