Sunday, May 23, 2010

Sharks Behind the 8-Ball

Well, the time has come to dust off the ol' 8-Ball again and this time it's the Sharks who have to rest behind it. This team is in tough going into Game Four in Chicago, having only a few bright spots to carry them through this series, but no wins to show for those efforts.

The Sharks are up against elimination on Sunday afternoon, but not only elimination, the possibility of getting swept in these Conference Finals, by a team that was coming into this series as a lower seed.  You could say that the Blackhawks were coming into this series playing much better hockey and looking like the better team, but for statistical purposes, the Sharks were the favourites in the standings coming in.

If the Sharks are going to pull this game out of the fire, they are going to need one of those solid road games that everyone keeps talking about.  They have to pay no attention to the ruckus in the crowd, they have to remain composed and diciplined, while keeping their mistakes to a minimum.  We all know that Evgeni Nabokov is a good goaltender and can make timely saves, but there are very few goalies of the past and present that can save a team on a regular basis when said team makes mistakes in front.  The Sharks can score, they have plenty of talent, but they are going to have to generate their offense from playing defense and that will be the key to Game Four.  If that doesn't come about, then all is lost.

For the Blackhawks, the game plan is simple.  Keep doing what you've been doing. You have to be impressed with what the Blackhawks have been doing in this series and there should be no reason to quit or even let the Sharks back into the series.  That would just be absurd!

TeamScott G.Neil B.Myles D.Kalenab G.Leo M.Stuart G.Derek B.Russ D.
Points236-2-8-11-12-13-13-15
 
Patrick Sharpxxxx
Dustin Byfuglienx
Brian Campbellx
Patrick Kanexxxxxx
Jonathan Toewsxxxx
Marian Hossaxxxx
Duncan Keithxxx
Brent Seabrookx
  
Joe Pavelskixxxxxxx
Manny Malhotrax
Ryane Clowexx
Dan Boylex
Joe Thorntonx
Dany Heatleyxxx
Evgeni Nabokovx
Jason Demersx
Mac-Eduoard Vlasicx
Rob Blakexx
Patrick Marleaux

As you can see from the table, the Flyers and Canadiens game did good things for Scott G., who will now have to face the onslaught of offense again in Game Four of this series. I believe I've said it before, Scott would be awfully happy if this series was to end sooner rather than later.

I think one of the more interestiing bits going into Game Four was the addition of Derek B. to the table above.  He managed to destroy the Joe Pavelski domination that was going on and he added Patrick Marleau, who was discussed when pointing out players who wasn't on this table.  Very interesting.   Of course, these are all moot points when the Sharks are eliminated, but Marleau's scoring in Game Three was enough to lift Derek onto the table, so we can celebrate that at least.

I think we all sort of know the score for this series in the pool, if the top guns of the Blackhawks keep scoring at the pace that they are, everyone gets a little bit closer to Scott (if not passing him) and for the most part, if the Sharks can get their top guns to score (ie. Joe Thornton and Marleau), that's just more points that Scott won't get and people could catch him that way.

I'm looking forward to watching this game and personally hoping that it's over and done with so the possibility of getting to the Cup Finals is a little faster.

Saturday, May 22, 2010

Flyers Win, Lead Change in Pool Again

The Flyers were definitely good enough in Montreal on Saturday afternoon, as they came through the 60 minutes with three good road periods to upset the Canadiens chances of making it a closer series.  I think the panelists between CBC and TSN had it right, the Flyers had to withstand the speed of the Canadiens early on, but they worked hard to then keep it all to the outside and away from Michael Leighton, making his job easier.  The defense was absolutely excellent for the Flyers, blocking shots, creating turnovers and making it really hard on the Canadiens own defense.  A 3-0 win was a perfect statement game for the Flyers, who now head home to the Wachovia Center on Monday to try and close out this series.

Doing the business for the Flyers offensively was Claude Giroux, who had a pair of goals, including the winner, giving the Flyers the offensive support their defense needed to pull this game through.  Giroux led all pool players in points with 3 and he helped change the face of the pool standings again today.

Well, if you remember from the preview earlier this morning, Giroux was tabbed as being the guy that would be key for Scott G. to climb back into the lead and there he was, front and centre.  Scott had the 3 points from Giroux (as did Myles, Stuart and Derek) and a single point from Kimmo Timonen to move past Neil B. in the standings and re-take a 2-point lead.  Myles didn't really gain anything on Scott, but made a stride or two towards Neil in the standings, while Stuart and Derek each passed by Russ in the standings and the preview for the Sharks and Blackhawks game will look a little different tomorrow.

Game Five of this series does go on Monday night and there is a good chance that we could be done the Conference Finals before the end of the long weekend.  How crazy would that be?  Don't count those chickens yet though, the Canadiens have come back from a 3-1 series deficit once already, although that could be asking too much to do it twice.

Canadiens Trying to Draw Even


There is a part of me that really wishes I got to watch Game Three live, that way I would have a better idea of what the momentum was feeling like when the Montreal Canadiens stormed back into the series with a win at home. Somehow, highlights were not enough to get the full perspective, but I'll go with what I've got.

I'm kind of glad to see home-ice advantage is finally working in one series, as these playoffs have not been kind to that old adage and we're still a game away from saying that more as a fact than a passing comment.  The Philadelphia Flyers saw a different side to these Canadiens in Game Three and will have to work their way through it, if they want to put the Canadiens behind the 8-Ball going back to Philadelphia for Game Five.  Of course, if this series is truly going to be a home-ice kind of series, the Flyers have a little less to worry about, since they are the (slightly) higher seed in this game today.

So, now we go to the pool, where the magic happens.  We have a new leader, thanks to Friday night and we now have a new team joining the table, as he's crept up on the leaders in this Conference Finals, Derek B.'s second team in the pool has 20 points in Round Three, which is better than the other seven teams on the table, so he deserves to make the jump in.

TeamNeil B.Scott G.Myles D.Kalenab G.Leo M.Russ D.Stuart G.Derek B.
Points234-2-10-10-12-13-14-14
 
Scott Hartnellxx
Claude Girouxxxxx
Kimmo Timonenxxx
James Van Riemsdykx
Chris Prongerxx
Daniel Brierex
Braydon Coburnx
 
Marc-Andre Bergeronx
Roman Hamrlikx

So, there we have it, a new leader, a fresh name on the list and a good game at hand.  Let's work down the line, shall we?  Neil is looking for a massive game from the Canadiens this afternoon, maybe moreso a massive game from Jaroslav Halak, who no one has, but if he can shutdown the Flyers, his lead is safe.  Scott has some key Flyers in this match-up today and isn't looking behind him... yet, so his Flyers just need to score to possibly take the lead back.  Myles has moved up to 3rd and can ride the coattails of the same Flyers forwards as Scott, but hopes Chris Pronger has a much bigger game than Kimmo Timonen.  Unfortunately, Kalenab certainly can't fare too well, unless Timonen goes on an unassisted rampage, even then, she wouldn't be able to catch Scott that way.  Leo's key player today is James Van Riemsdyk, who is his unique player in this series, also carrying the same two defensemen mentioned above.  The young forward is his key though, could use a breakout game today.  Russ has a couple of unique players to his team and could make a move if they become hot against the Habs.  Daniel Briere has been hot of late and Braydon Coburn has done well to pick up assists here and there, so I can't count him out.  Stuart only has Claude Giroux to his name and he isn't at all unique to the top eight, but is unique enough to 4th place, so a minor miracle could do Stu some good.  New name to the party, Derek, he also has Giroux, so he could follow Stuart with some scoring there, but also brings the other of the two chosen Habs to the table, Roman Hamrlik, who could figure into some power play scoring.

The confirmations are coming in this morning that both Jeff Carter and Ian Laperriere are going to be in for the Flyers for Game Four, which makes the Flyers a better team, in theory. Carter hasn't played for the Flyers in a month with a broken foot and Laperriere has been out for a few weeks after blocking a shot with his head and suffering some bruising in and around his brain. This could be a pretty good lift for the Flyers, but is it enough to sway the home-ice advantage away from Montreal?

New Leader in the Pool, Thanks to Chicago

The Chicago Blackhawks did indeed prove that this series is far from comparison with the Eastern Conference battle, as there isn't as much fight between the two teams in the West as there is in the East.  The Sharks did show up a bit in Game Three, but it would have been an absolute crime if they didn't.  The Blackhawks were ready for them, however, forcing the momentum back in their favour most times the Sharks would have a good push or a power play in their favour.  It was almost as if the Blackhawks were toying with them a little bit.

Nevertheless, the Sharks did get some good pushes at some crucial times, opening the scoring early on in the 2nd period and forcing overtime with a goal with less than five minutes to play in the 3rd period.  For a 2-2 game going into the extra frame, the Sharks had to work extra hard.  In overtime, there was quite a bit of good skating from both sides of the rink, but the Blackhawks proved to be a little too much, as Dustin Byfuglien scored his 2nd game-winner of these playoffs to put the Sharks to the brink of elimination.

Well, as I expected, Scott couldn't hold onto 1st place through this game, as the Blackhawks top scorers were out to play against the Sharks in Game Three.  Neil B. really had the chips fall his way last night, as Jonathan Toews had 2 assists, Patrick Kane had an assist and Dan Boyle had 2 assists for his team, helping him take a 2-point lead in the pool going into Saturday's Eastern Conference action.

Patrick Marleau and Dustin Byfuglien were the only two players to also pick up a pair of points for the pool, Marleau a couple of goals and Byfuglien scored the game-winner, but Byfuglien is the only one of the two with any roots in the top seven teams in the pool.  Marleau was chosen on 18 teams, but he hasn't helped anyone to the top.

Game Four will be going on Sunday afternoon and I have a feeling that the Sharks will be put out of their misery or at least have the 8-Ball run over them before it's all said and done.

Friday, May 21, 2010

Friday Night's Pool Preview



This game, compared to it's Eastern Conference counterpart, is another beast entirely. The San Jose Sharks lost both of their games at home and will now try to pull a rabbit out of the hat on the road, where they are 3-2 in the playoffs. You could see the Sharks frustration levels rise about being embarrassed at home on Tuesday night, so there has to be a sense of redemption upcoming or else they will be likely playing Game Four with their tail between their legs and getting the blindfold on for a painful elimination game.

The Blackhawks on the other hand are returning home with a major coup on their hands, winning both games on the road and now coming home to a raucus atmosphere of the United Center. The Blackhawks haven't been terribly dominating at home, like they have been on the road, only carrying a 3-3 home record into Game Three tonight, but they are carrying a pretty good game plan to deal with the Sharks' big stars and their goalie, so it will have to be much of the same for them to really jump out and grab this series by the short and curlies.

TeamScott G.Neil B.Kalenab G.Leo M.Myles D.Russ D.Stuart G.
Points2280-8-8-9-10-12
 
Patrick Sharpxxx
Dustin Byfuglienx
Brian Campbellx
Patrick Kanexxxxx
Jonathan Toewsxxxx
Marian Hossaxxxx
Duncan Keithxx
Brent Seabrookx
  
Joe Pavelskixxxxxxx
Manny Malhotrax
Ryane Clowexx
Dan Boylex
Joe Thorntonx
Dany Heatleyxx
Evgeni Nabokovx
Jason Demersx
Mac-Eduoard Vlasicx
Rob Blakex

If Scott wants to re-take 1st place outright tonight, he's is hoping for a 1-0 win by the Blackhawks, with a goal by Dustin Byfuglien from Brian Campbell and Patrick Sharp. The perfect 4-point goal for him and he could be almost through this series with the lead. Sadly, I really don't see that happening, as Jonathan Toews has been just too good in the past 11 games and he's bound to get a point or two again tonight.


I have a feeling that this game is going to be a very exciting one, especially with the Sharks having their backs up against the wall like they are tonight.  They are going to have to come out swinging if they want to make a series of this or it'll be behind the 8-Ball for them on Sunday!

Habs Ignite Their Game at Home

Making good use of your opportunities... that's what the Montreal Canadiens were able to do against the Philadelphia Flyers on Thursday night, as they climbed back into the series with a home victory, beating their Eastern Conference Final opponents, 5-1.  The Canadiens obviously got a lift from the home crowd and likely some home cooking to beat the Flyers at their own game and the Canadiens were able to beat a team when outshooting them in the game. 

I wasn't able to catch the game, but seeing the highlights of the game, it really looked like the Canadiens had the momentum right from the start and was able to play their game and frustrate the Flyers from start to finish.  The shutout streak for Michael Leighton ended rather abruptly on a goal from a fortunate bounce and the Canadiens got some scoring production from the players they need production from. 

It was a good team effort in terms of scoring, but of course, the Playoff Pool saw little improvement from the large amounts of Canadiens scoring last night.  The only two players of note for the Habs are Marc-Andre Bergeron, who had a late 3rd period power play goal and Roman Hamrlik, who had a couple of assists.

Now, just because we saw little bits of improvement in the Playoff Pool doesn't mean we didn't see important changes in the standings.  Neil B. is the only team in the top seven to have Bergeron on his team and that was a pretty important goal that he scored, as it moved Neil into a tie for 1st place with Scott G., who didn't benefit at all from the only Flyers goal that was scored.  Also doing a little bit of shifting in the standings, Leo M. and Myles D. each gained a point on 1st place as well in the game, thanks to the Chris Pronger assist on the only Flyers goal.

For those trying to keep track, it was Tom Pyatt who was eventually credited with the winning goal in Game Three, which doesn't figure at all into the bonus points count in the hockey pool.  

Well, it looks like we have a series here, but I'm sure Scott G. would like a higher scoring one, just so some of his Flyers could keep him in the lead.

Thursday, May 20, 2010

Rivet to Undergo Shoulder Surgery

More news of going under the knife on Thursday morning, as Buffalo Sabres defenseman, Craig Rivet, will undergo surgery this week to repair a nagging shoulder injury. There isn't a great deal of details surrounding this injury or the surgery itself, but the Sabres do seem confident that Rivet will be at camp and ready to go, possibly a week or two late at the worst case scenario.

Rivet did not enjoy a very productive 2010 season, only scoring 1 goal and 14 assists in 78 games for Buffalo, which only ranked him 127th among all defensemen.  If we were to draft with 17 teams again in September, there would be a good chance that he would be skipped over and then had a look at for waiver draft purposes midway through the season. 

If his surgery is successful and he can return to 100%, he should get back to being in the top 100 in blueline scoring, if not a little higher.  Rivet has a career-high of 35 points and would play well as a good 3rd or 4th defenseman on a team in my draft pool. 

Red Wings Re-Sign Young Swede

The Detroit Red Wings announced on Wednesday that they have re-signed Mattias Ritola to a 3-year deal, just outside of his entry-level deal. Ritola, 23, has been toiling around in the Red Wings system for the past couple of seasons putting up some okay numbers.  The real kicker for Ritola is that he'll get a good opportunity to make the Red Wings starting line-up, because at his age and being signed on for over three years with the team, he has to clear waivers in order to be sent back dwn to the minors.  If this kid has the talent to warrant a 3-year deal, he might be worth while to be picked up, especially at the low cap hit of $516,666 per season. 

Just look at a guy like Ville Leino, but his development seemed to take more of an upturn when he was dealt away from the Red Wings and into Philadelphia.

I'm putting Ritola on the radar as one to watch, making sure I get some positive reports out of training camp before making too many rash decisions.

Thursday Night's Pool Preview


Being down 2-0 and coming home is theoretically what should happen in these playoffs, if the teams are even enough and can claim home-ice advantage in the series. It makes for a good seven game series. The Montreal Canadiens have their shot at home-ice starting tonight and begin the night's worth of hockey as the earlier game against the Philadelphia Flyers. Panic should not set in quite yet for the Habs, as they have had to claw back in their previous series, but they can't rest on their laurels, just because they are the home team.

The Flyers technically do not have to win a game in Montreal, if they continue playing so well at home in this series, but a win tonight will be huge for Philadelphia, who will then be holding the Canadiens over a barrel for Game Four. The Flyers are exercising some great leadership, timely scoring and some top end goaltending from their second goalie of these playoffs, which finds themselves rolling along quite well. The pressure is off, but that doesn't mean they won't want to steal a victory on the road.

TeamScott G.Neil B.Kalenab G.Leo M.Myles D.Russ D.Stuart G.
Points228-1-8-9-10-10-12
 
Scott Hartnellxx
Claude Girouxxxx
Kimmo Timonenxxx
James Van Riemsdykx
Chris Prongerxx
Daniel Brierex
Braydon Coburnx
 
Marc-Andre Bergeronx

Well, this is the series that Scott G. really needs to fall in his favour, because the West isn't doing him any favours. On Tuesday night, Scott rushed out to a pretty big lead because of the Flyers, but everyone seemed to reel him in when the other game finished, so I'm not sure if any more needs to be said about that.

Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Markov Joins the Six Month Club

The Montreal Canadiens have announced that their star defenseman Andrei Markov has undergone ACL surgery on his injured knee and he'll now be unfit to play for upwards of six months.  It really does seem like the Canadiens were holding out for as long as possible, hoping that Markov could return to the line-up in these playoffs, but with surgery going down on Wednesday, it appears that his playoff hopes have been dashed and he can now look towards a long Summer of rehab and work.  Much like Marco Sturm, announced yesterday, there is a pretty good chance that Markov will be in for missing the first six weeks of the 2011 season, so it's best that you take that into consideration now by making a note telling yourself to discount his value for September or October.

In the 2010 season, Markov only managed to play in 45 games for the Canadiens, which will definitely put him on watch for the injury prone list this Summer.  Nevertheless, he does manage to score at a very good pace, picking up 34 points (6 goals & 28 assists) in those 45 games, which was good enough to be 40th in total points among defensemen and ranked 5th in points-per-game among defensemen that played more than 3 games. 

Choose him at your own risk is my only advice today.

Blackhawks Go Home With Two Wins in Their Pocket

It's primarily a polar opposite from the East in this Western Conference Final, as the road team has now won the first two games of this series and now has full home-ice advantage, instead of needing their home-ice advantage to stay alive.  The Chicago Blackhawks forced a fairly heavy (and pesky) hand in Game Two in San Jose.  They not only frustrated the Sharks with a somewhat lopsided score on the board, but managed to have the Sharks superstars boil their tempers over.

The Blackhawks seem to be working a pretty solid game plan of some good old fashioned playoff hockey, being hard on the body, getting some good forechecking in and moving bodies into the front of the net, while the Sharks just seem to want to let them and get frustrated by it.  I have a hard time believing that they will make it out of Chicago alive, but I suppose there should be some shred of hope, since they are only down 2-0.

After the Philly/Montreal game, Scott G. had himself a pretty solid lead of about 7 points, which I was beginning to think was a little too solid.  I failed to take into consideration the difference in picks between Scott and Neil B., when it came to the Chicago/San Jose series.  Neil does out gun Scott pretty badly in this series and he took that 7-point lead and crushed it between his toes.  Neil had points from Jonathan Toews (3), Patrick Kane (2), Marian Hossa (1) and Dan Boyle (2), while Scott only had 1 point from Dustin Byfuglien.  So, now the lead is down to 1 point after the Game Twos of the Conference Finals and it does look like a two horse race down the stretch.

Jonathan Toews continues to lead the pool in scoring, as he's now up to 25 points in these playoffs. He's picked up 7 goals, 2 winners and 16 assists already and he's rolling at pretty good pace so far. If the Blackhawks can knock off the Sharks right away, Toews should benefit well from the remaining few games, but for Neil B., he better hope that the Flyers/Canadiens series doesn't go on too long as well, for the lead's sake.

Game-Winning Goals
New Playoffs Game Winner ButtonAgain, it has been a little while since I've posted the Game-Winning Goals logo, so I thought I would here today, just to bring back some fond memories and tell you about Russ D., who stormed out into the lead in the race. Russ has got himself a firm grasp of things in the bonus points race, thanks to being the only team to pick Daniel Briere, especially down the stretch of the Philadelphia/Boston series.  Russ now leads the way with 17 GWGs in the pool, which is 4 better than his nearest competitor, Chris M..  These bonus points have also lifted Russ into 5th place in the pool, only 10 points out of 1st place.

Briere leads all players in these playoffs with 4 winners, while Mike Cammalleri and Joe Pavelski each have 3 winners.  Those are your top three so far in these playoffs.  Russ is capitalizing on two of the top three, so he's firmly in business there.

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Sturm's Regular Season Start in Jeopardy

Well, I didn't have this ready for my Pool Outlook for the Bruins, which was published today, but Marco Sturm has undergone major knee surgery and there is a good chance that he will not be ready until the second month of the regular season.  Sturm had to have ACL reconstruction, MCL repair and some meniscus work in his right knee and he is now expected to miss upwards of six months, which may or may not include a great deal of rehab.  Six months from now could very well mean that he could miss the first six weeks of the season, which suggests that he might be an okay sleeper pick-up in the first waiver draft of the season in my annual hockey pool draft.

In 76 games this season, Sturm had 37 points (22 goals and 15 assists) for the Bruins in 2010.  The six games that he missed in the season was a leg injury in January.  Sturm might get himself a minor entry in my Summer post for injury prone players, especially since he hasn't played an 82-game seeason since 2003.

Leighton Shuts Down the Habs for a 2-0 Lead

With back-to-back shutouts, I'm sure there are a few teams wishing that a couple of teams had some injury replacements in net and then have them post back-to-back shutouts. Well, Michael Leighton has come in for the Flyers in Brian Boucher's stead and has done well to open the series against the Montreal Canadiens, taking the first two games at home in Philadelphia.  Unfortunately for the Playoff Pool, Boucher was the goalie of record for the Flyers, so all of these shutout points are getting lost in pool oblivion. 

So, let's get to what happened in the pool, shall we?  Thanks to the preview I posted this morning, I can tell you that Scott G. extended his lead to 7 points thanks to points from Claude Giroux and Kimmo Timonen, taking advantage of Neil B.'s lack of Flyers, especially in a shutout loss.  Daniel Briere was credited with the game winner tonight, which was only taken advantage of by Russ D., who ranked 2nd in points in the Conference Finals, after the game, with 10. 

The lead was offically lifted up to 7 points after this game, which is not only getting larger in the measurable sense, but it's getting even bigger as the games disappear. 

Back to the series, the Canadiens have a bit of an uphill climb now against the Flyers, but they do have the benefit of going back home to Montreal for a couple of games, where they will need their crowd to lift them up to help them break the goose egg that Leighton has on them and get back into the series. 

Pool Outlook for Boston

It's likely going to be a long time before the Boston Bruins live down the crushing defeat to the Philadelphia Flyers in dramatic, record book-writing fashion, but there could be some solace taken in what their future potentially holds, because it was a pretty good season in 2010 to begin with and it looks like they will be able to add some talent at a reasonable cap hit to remain competitive down the line.  It might not be the joys of making it to the Eastern Conference Finals (or beyond) right now, but it has to be worth something, right?

The Boston Bruins had all sorts of changes up front and on the defense and really lacked some consistency throughout their line-up, except for in goal.  You would think it was going to be the 2009 Vezina Trophy winner taking the reins in 2010, but no, it was his younger protege taking over in Tuukka Rask.  Rask and Thomas pretty well split the time in the net through the whole season, but it was Rask leading the team in minutes and wins by the dust settled.   Rask appeared in 45 games for the Bruins, picking up a record of 22-12-5 with 5 shutouts and 3 assists, which totals 57 points for the pool.  Those 57 points were good enough to be the best Bruins player in the pool, 22nd best goalie, 89th overall.

Frankly, when the team's best player only registers 57 points in the season, you would think it was a bad year for that team, but it was only a bad finish to the playoffs, which had little to do with the regular season performances.

As you can see, the bar was set pretty low for the team's best players, so why did the forwards drop the ball in 2010?  Injuries to some key players kept scoring down from the team's forwards all year.  Those who did lead, managed to play in 70+ games, but they were not good enough as a team to put up more scoring than they did.  Patrice Bergeron and David Krejci led the way with 52 points each, but Bergeron had the edge in goals for his picture to be posted.  Mark Recchi ranked 3rd in forward scoring with 43 points in 81 games, while Blake Wheeler had 38 points in 82 games.  Injuries to Marc Savard and Milan Lucic can be looked towards as big turning points in the team's scoring in 2010, so take that into account when you are thinking about their 2011 numbers.

The Bruins blueline had a better showing in terms of their rankings, with three defensemen finishing in the top 100 of the positional scoring.  Zdeno Chara finished 16th among all blueliners, which is down for the big man, with 44 points in 80 games, but you may be able to chalk that up to the lack of power play punch the Bruins had from all of their injuries.  The Bruins acquired Dennis Seidenberg at the trade deadline and he was good enough between Florida and Boston for 32 points in 79 games, which ranked him 44th among all defensemen.   Dennis Wideman had a bit of a down year in 2010, with only 30 points in 76 games, but he still finished in 49th among defensemen, so it wasn't a write-off year.  If some of the Bruins talent up front can stay healthy enough and work that power play into some better shape, I would think that their numbers would be much better in 2011.

Repeating as the reigning Vezina Trophy winner is harder to do than it looks nowadays.  A 17-18-8 record in 43 appearances with the Bruins will likely do that to a guy, but adding 5 shutouts to that total makes his record a little easier to stomach.  Tim Thomas finished the season with 44 points, ranking him tied for 4th in points on the team, 168th in the league and 28th among goalies.  That means the Bruins had two goalies in the top 30, which was a nice insurance policy for the team that had to really battle for their playoff spot at the end of the year. I'll be curious to see how the Bruins approach their goaltending in 2011.

2011 Season Outlook
I think when you look at the keys to the Bruins to get them where they ended up in 2010, I think you can safely say that the Bruins are indeed heading in the right direction, especially with the names they are carrying over to 2011.  The combination in goal is intact, in theory, going forward, while big Zdeno Chara is still in the fold patrolling the front of the net and Marc Savard, Patrice Bergeron and David Krejci will have another shot to have a healthy year.

ForwardsDefenseGoalies
Patrice BergeronZdeno CharaTuukka Rask
David KrejciDennis WidemanTim Thomas
Marco SturmMatt Hunwick
Michael RyderAndrew Ference
Marc Savard
Milan Lucic

The Bruins might be in tough this Summer when it comes to their overall cap hit in 2011, as they only have 12 players signed on at the moment for a chunky sum of $45.7 million against the cap.  They do have a couple of top centres, some scoring wingers, their top two offensive defensemen and their goaltending tandem signed, so it may just be a matter of signing up some good depth and/or youth to fill the remaining 11 spots on the active roster.  If their depth players can come in at $1 million a piece, they should be in good shape.

Unrestricted free agency is going to play a large part in the Bruins Summer, with names like Mark Recchi, Dennis Seidenberg, Johnny Boychuk, Miroslav Satan, Steve Begin, Shawn Thornton and Mark Stuart all heading that way for July 1st.   Most of those names were very important to the Bruins in 2010 and it will be interesting to see what kind of numbers the team would drum up for some of these pending UFAs.  Recchi, Begin, Satan and Thornton all made $1 million or less in 2010, so there may be some minor raises there, thanks to their successes in 2010, but all could be wrapped back up in Bruins colours before too long.  Boychuk may warrant a nice pay raise after a very good year in Boston, gaining some respect for his tough style of play.

Restricted free agency won't be a walk in the park for the Bruins with Blake Wheeler, Dan Paille and Vladimir Sobotka leading the group into free agency this Summer.  With all these names and some cap space not being there for some, I would be trying to rule out Wheeler from the Bruins 2011 roster because of these reasons, likely trying to move him this Summer. 

The Bruins have been one of those teams that don't rush their prospects into the NHL too quickly or put too much pressure on them to turn pro.  The team has plenty of young talent and they were fortunate to see a couple of their top prospects sign pro deals before the end of the season, opening up the doors for making the team next season.  6'5" centre Joe Colborne has to be the most attractive of the bunch coming out of the NCAA system in Denver, scoring at a very good pace.  If the Bruins are going to be short down the middle, Colborne would do well to raise the average height in that position.   Jordan Caron, Brad Marchand and Zach Hamill are also on the radar to do good things in training camp for the Bruins.  It appears that the forward lines are in good hands down the line.

The Boston Bruins will be a busy team in the 1st round of the Entry Draft this year, having two picks to choose from, including the Maple Leafs' 2nd overall pick and their own pick which will be the 15th pick in the 1st round.  Those are going to be two great picks.  The reports are suggesting that the Bruins are going to go with the can't miss pick that the Oilers don't take between Taylor Hall and Tyler Seguin, but for how high Cam Fowler is rated and their need for some more blue chip defensemen, I am wondering if they can really pass up on a great blueliner and wait until the 15th pick to possibly pick one.

What I said at this time last year: "It's rather scary to think that the Bruins were so very good in 2009 and despite the possible turnaround in personnel, they do have some young kids that will come in and wow some people right away and fill some gaps at a reasonable price. It's going to be a hard season to pick Bruins this Fall, as there will be a lot of poolies with Bruins circled on their list. The trick will be to not overvalue the Bruins players like Lucic or Kobasew, despite them playing some quality minutes with some quality players. Right now, I'm going to marginally increase some players projected numbers, but I am also going to look at a few guys and take them down a bit, as they may have overachieved in 2009. Still, the Bruins are a quality team to pick from and will likely be picked pretty clean by the end of your draft."

I think I was at one point saying that there may have been a few players that overachieved in 2009 could have been somewhat correct, as there were a few players that did drop down in their production, but in most of those cases, you could attribute that to injuries for the most part.  The Bruins did have some turnaround in their roster and still managed to pull off a decent position in 2010, but overall, it would have been wise to be skeptical about picking them in your 2010 fantasy team. 

For 2011, I would have to imagine that it will be somewhat similar to the past couple years in terms of how the team fares in the standings.  I think I have to give Claude Julien a lot of credit for the work ethic and team play the Bruins have, but I do remain rather skeptical about whether or not the Bruins will be a good team to pick players from for pool points.  I will definitely like Rask for more minutes and thus more points, but I don't trust some of these health risks like Savard or Lucic, which should hurt my projections for the rest of the Bruins.  If Boston does in fact go with Hall or Seguin, my thoughts may change, but that's predicting two steps ahead, which is a dangerous idea as it is.

Tuesday's Conference Finals Preview



Finally! We're going to get some of the proper previews that these Conference Finals series deserve. The Canadiens and Flyers will get the Evening of Game Twos started at the normal East Coast time and the Habs will be looking to bounce back from a 6-0 drubbing in Game One. They have lost the first game of the first two series in these playoffs, so you couldn't imagine that they are worried just yet.

In the pool, I don't think anyone in the running for top spot minds if the Canadiens get thumped, well except for Neil B., of course. If the Flyers can sweep the Habs out of the playoffs, that would just about end all hope for Neil trying to make it into 1st place, but he'll likely get passed by the teams behind him with all the Flyers players, since he has none.
TeamScott G.Neil B.Kalenab G.Leo M.Myles D.Russ D.Stuart G.
Points225-5-12-12-13-14-15
         
Scott Hartnellx   x  
Claude Girouxx   x x
Kimmo Timonenx xx   
James Van Riemsdyk   x   
Chris Pronger   xx  
Daniel Briere     x 
Braydon Coburn     x 
         
Marc-Andre Bergeron x     

Only three of the top seven teams left in the pool have three Flyers on their team, which should be a huge benefit, unless they get shutout for four straight games, which doesn't seem very likely. Neil, Kalenab & Stuart only have one player remaining in the East, which doesn't look very promising for them at all, because most teams have the maximum amount of players in the West, so this really is the kicker series as a whole.



In the late game of the evening, the Sharks will try to keep the Blackhawks from stealing both games in their building, which would be a major coup for the young guys from Chicago. Game One was a hard fought contest which was only a 2-1 decision, which doesn't help the pool much for scoring and makes the Eastern series a little bit more important.

The West is a very different story, where teams could keep their heads above water, if they are short in the East with their selections. Every team in the top seven has three Blackhawks, but at varying quality. Four of the seven have Jonathan Toews, who leads the pool in scoring and 1st place, Scott, doesn't have him at all, so that also plays a tighter game.

TeamScott G.Neil B.Kalenab G.Leo M.Myles D.Russ D.Stuart G.
Points225-5-12-12-13-14-15
         
Patrick Sharpx   xx 
Dustin Byfuglienx      
Brian Campbellx      
Patrick Kane xxxx x
Jonathan Toews xx x x
Marian Hossa x x xx
Duncan Keith  x  x 
Brent Seabrook   x   
          
Joe Pavelskixxxxxxx
Manny Malhotrax      
Ryane Clowe x    x
Dan Boyle x     
Joe Thornton     x 
Dany Heatley   x x 
Evgeni Nabokov   x   
Jason Demers      x
Mac-Eduoard Vlasic    x  
Rob Blake    x  

As you can see, Joe Pavelski is the only common player between all seven teams vying for top spot, so his points are purely cosmetic from here on in. Five of the seven teams have taken three Sharks, minus Pavelski from everyone and only two of them count. Kalenab only has Pavelski on her team, so the Sharks are fairly dead to her, so in order for her to stay in the mix, she needs her Blackhawks players to wipe the floor with San Jose and the Habs do destroy the Flyers from here on in.

If the lead gets any bigger, this could be the runaway win for Scott that he was hoping for, thanks to his favourite team, the Flyers.

Monday, May 17, 2010

Sabres Re-Sign Grier

The Buffalo Sabres re-signed gritty forward Mike Grier to another 1-year deal on Monday afternoon. His cap hit was not immediately disclosed, but his numbers and rankings have stayed the same over the past few seasons, so I believe it would be fair to assume that he will have a cap hit of about $1.2 million again in 2011.

In 2010, Grier had 22 points (10 goals and 12 assists) in 73 games for the Sabres, ranking him 368th among all players and 251st among forwards.   He'll be added to the Sabres roster table, but a Team Update post won't be posted for a while just yet.

In the Draft in 2010, we only picked 136 forwards, so he's a ways out.  The Draft is expected to grow, but don't go down too far when selecting.

Pool Outlook for Pittsburgh

Much like the Red Wings, who were looked at a couple of days ago, the Penguins received an early finish to their Summer, but not before playing a whole lot of hockey over the past few seasons.  With the amount of hockey and the number of commitments these players have nowadays, the ability of making it to the Stanley Cup Finals in back-to-back years, winning it once, is a marvel, in my opinion.  Dropping out in the second round for the Penguins is not necessarily a step back, rather a step towards getting some well-deserved rest.  The Penguins have only been out of the playoffs for a couple of days, but the critique of their departure seems rather harsh, seeing as though they have done a lot more than 28 teams in the league, the Red Wings being the only one who draws comparisons.

Unlike the Red Wings, the best player on the Penguins had himself a banner year and didn't have to leave it up to a team effort to carry them along in 2010.  Sidney Crosby was by far the Penguins' best player in the year and he put up a good banner year, even by his own high standards.  Crosby had himself a share of the Rocket Richard Trophy for the league title in goals with 51 and finished in a tie for 3rd in pool scoring with 109 points, 2nd among all forwards, thanks to his goal total.  Remarkably, in the five seasons he's played in the NHL, he's never finished on top of pool scoring, finishing 2nd or 3rd a combined three times.  Nevertheless, Crosby is a pretty good lock for a top three pick in anyone's draft and it can never be a surprise to suggest him being a 1st pick overall, because of his all-around game.

Depth of scoring at the forward position did have some issues to overcome, especially with injuries.  Evgeni Malkin was one of those players that were hit with injuries, playing in only 67 games and registering a mere 77 points.   Malkin was the top dog in 2009, but only managed to finish 30th in pool scoring in 2010, but I would imagine he'll still be a top draw for the draft this Fall.  The Penguins scoring depth does drop down dramatically after Malkin though.  The Penguins acquired Alex Ponikarovsky from the Leafs and he finished 3rd among Penguins forwards with 50 points in 77 games, while Jordan Staal had 49 points in 82 games, Bill Guerin dropped a little to 45 points in 78 games, but Pascal Dupuis moved up to 38 points in 81 games. With so much money tied up in superstars, the Penguins will have to work hard to find some good scoring depth to play wing for their great centres.  Once you start picking and choosing your centres from this team, be very wary of who else you pick up, especially after free agency hits this team in the Summer.

Defensive was a little bit better in 2010 for the Penguins, as Sergei Gonchar managed pick up some of his form, but an injury did sideline him for a little too long.  Gonchar finished 6th in blueline scoring with 50 points in 62 games, but that is now back-to-back years with hurtful injuries, especially to hockey pool teams.  Finishing 6th in defense scoring does help his argument to be picked high again, but he is becoming an injury concern. Alex Goligoski had a good 2010, jumping up the rankings thanks to a 37-point season in 69 games.  Goligoski was ranked 32nd among defensemen, up from being 93rd in 2009.  He is definitely developing well.  Kristopher Letang had a down year with only 27 points in 73 games, but I would expect those totals to bounce back.  2010 rental player, Jordan Leopold added some good depth down the stretch, but a concussion hurt him in the playoffs. Leopold will enter free agency with a season of 26 points in 81 games under his belt.

The Penguins got some more excellent goaltending from Marc-Andre Fleury in 2010, but it wasn't his best numbers of his career.  Fleury did manage to win 37 games this past season, with only 1 shutout and 1 assist to go with them, picking up 77 points for the pool.  That put Fleury in 12th among all goalies in the pool, down from being 9th in 2009.  I don't think there should be too much concern, as he has seen a lot of hockey in the past couple seasons and now he'll know what he has to do for conditioning in the off-season.  Brent Johnson had a good season as the team's back-up in 2010, picking up 21 points and ranking 44th among all goalies.  He's definitely in the conversation about top back-ups in the pool, for whatever that's worth. 

2011 Season Outlook
You can definitely see the depth down the middle for the Penguins heading into this off-season, but the talent does become somewhat questionable down the wings for the team.  Chris Kunitz will have to be better in 2011 for the team to make a real splash, especially since he is already signed on for next season.  The blueline has some flexibility to it after some restricted free agency and the goaltending should be solid again.  The outlook from looking at the team below has to remain positive, especially since they still have Crosby & Malkin to lead the way.

ForwardsDefenseGoalies
Sidney CrosbyAlex GoligoskiMarc-Andre Fleury
Evgeni MalkinKris LetangBrent Johnson
Jordan StaalBrooks Orpik
Pascal Dupuis
Chris Kunitz
Tyler Kennedy
Mike Rupp
Craig Adams
Max Talbot
Eric Godard

With 15 players in tow for the 2011 season, the salary cap hit will be very important to the team's flexibility of adding some more help.  Going into the Summer, the team's approximate annual cap number now stands at $45.1 million, which leaves them some room, but they will definitely have to weasel their way through some of their key free agents in order to be big players during the Entry Draft and the Free Agent Frenzy.

Unrestricted free agency should be the biggest concern of the Penguins, but only in some cases.  Of course there were rentals at the Trade Deadline like Alex Ponikarovsky and Jordan Leopold, both of whom will likely be taken to market on July 1st, while Sergei Gonchar, Bill Guerin, Matt Cooke, Ruslan Fedotenko, Mark Eaton and Jay McKee will all have to have some consideration, some more than others. It's a pretty long list of UFA's with only $11 or $12 million left in the budget and we haven't even listed the RFAs that will require new deals in July.

Okay, don't panic.  The RFA list is not very long and doesn't include a lot of the more important players in some of the Penguins' runs, but if they do look to make the team, they'll be taking up valuable cap space.  Ben Lovejoy played the most games in their potential RFAs this past season and that was only a 12-game stint with the team.  He does have some upside to him and he might have a spot thanks to free agency.  Chris Conner and Dustin Jeffrey are the other two key free agents this Summer.

A lot of the best young talent in the Penguins organization has already made the team and likely an impact with the team as well.  They did, however, pick up some good talent from Anaheim in the deal that sent Ryan Whitney out of town, with Eric Tangradi coming the other way.  Tangradi is said to have the same sort of skill set as Chris Kunitz, who is already on the team, so with some spots opening up on the wing, the Penguins may have found some scoring help on the wings for an entry-level contract cap hit.  I would be keeping a keen eye on what the scouts say about his development and how he fares in the preseason with the team.  Otherwise, I think there has to be some lifted eyebrows over the Summer and training camp for anyone to be listed from their top prospects list.

Since we now know who the final four are in the Conference Finals, we now know that the Penguins will be picking 20th in the Entry Draft, thanks to keeping their 1st round draft pick through the Trade Deadline.  I am going to go out and suggest that the Penguins will be looking at defense when they use their pick, much like they did with Simon Despres in the 2009 Draft.  With such talent up front, they can definitely afford to bolster the blueline, unless there isn't anyone with a major presence.

What I had said at this time last year: "The Penguins nucleus has lots to build from, especially when you move past Gonchar and get a year or two more on Kris Letang and Alex Goligoski. Of course, the Penguins are going to be a huge source of fantasy players, no matter who they pick up or lose in the off-season. They have been built well with really good picks. Look for a huge year from Chris Kunitz and Tyler Kennedy in 2010, they'll be huge. Oh yeah, don't forget those other guys as well."

Last year, I kept it pretty simple.  Look for the Penguins in your fantasy draft and you should be fine.  Well, hopefully you didn't gamble too highly on some of these guys, because there was a bit of a drop off in some talent, as we reviewed already.  Kunitz and Kennedy were not very big in 2010 and my outlook for them in 2011 was hurt badly by their numbers.  I don't think I can take too much credit for anything said in last year's blurb, so I will have to make up for it this year.

For 2011, I don't think there is any real need to go wild again.  Crosby should be pretty good again, especially if he continues to shoot the amount he did in 2010.  Malkin will bounce back in 2010, but I wouldn't bet on him beating Crosby in the scoring race.  Some new youth needs to be fused into the line-up, especially since there are a number of spots open, so I would be looking for a new dark horse to turn some heads.  Veteran presence will be a key issue that needs to be addressed in the Summer and if they cannot fill some of those gaps, I suspect that the team might suffer a tad in the win column, hurting Fleury's overall numbers.  There's no question that the Penguins will be in the mix all season, but their Summer will definitely dictate how strong of a force they will be a year from now.