Thursday, August 17, 2017

2018 Pool Projections: Rookies

The mini-game wheel didn't stop on the rookie pool last season, much to the chagrin of Scott's team, which was dominated by rookies and would have clearly walked away with the title, but there's always a chance that the wheel could stop on it this season and it would be a whole new ball game.

By far, one of the most difficult things to do in these projection posts is predict which rookies are going to earn a spot with their NHL club and then figure out how many points they are going to push for in the season.  This hasn't exactly been my forte in the last couple of seasons, but here I am again, pulling out the rookies for a third post of it's kind, giving it my best go.

The entry draft this summer wasn't exactly full of hype, but the top two kids certainly will have a shot with their new teams and personally, I like Nolan Patrick's chances of a better season in Philadelphia than Nico Hischier in New Jersey.  I wouldn't necessarily say that it will be the telling point for either player's careers, but Patrick is my favourite today for the Calder Trophy.

Still, I think the biggest competition for the top rookie will come from the drafts of previous summers, as some top prospects were showcased at the end of last season and figured out what it was going to take to have a full-time job in the NHL.  There were also a few that got that look at the beginning of last season and went back to junior to work on the little things that would get them the longer look in training camp.  These are the kids we could be most excited for and we should be in for a fun season.

Let's just have ourselves a quick reminder of what qualifies a player as a rookie... "To be considered a rookie, a player must not have played in more than 25 NHL games in any preceding seasons, nor in six or more NHL games in each of any two preceding seasons. Any player at least 26 years of age (by September 15th of that season) is not considered a rookie."

Player Pos 17/18 Proj Team
Nolan Patrick F 60 PHI
Clayton Keller F 50 ARI
Brock Boeser F 45 VAN
Pierre-Luc Dubois F 45 CBJ
Joel Eriksson Ek F 45 MIN
Nico Hischier F 45 NJD
Dylan Strome F 45 ARI
Charles McAvoy D 40 BOS
Joshua Ho-Sang F 35 NYI
Alexander Nylander F 35 BUF
Christian Fischer F 30 ARI
Henrik Haapala F 30 FLA
John Quenneville F 30 NJD
Mikhail Sergachev D 30 TAM
Jake DeBrusk F 25 BOS
Julien Gauthier F 25 CAR
Yanni Gourde F 25 TAM
Jayce Hawryluk F 25 FLA
Miro Heiskanen D 25 DAL
Tyson Jost F 25 COL
Michael McLeod F 25 NJD
J.T. Compher F 20 COL
Frederick Gaudreau F 20 NAS
Julius Honka D 20 DAL
Olli Juolevi D 20 VAN
Adrian Kempe F 20 LOS
Danny O'Regan F 20 SAN
Juuse Saros G 20 NAS
Alex Tuch F 20 VGK
Mike Vecchione F 20 PHI
Tyler Bertuzzi F 15 DET
Madison Bowey D 15 WAS
Gabriel Carlsson D 15 CBJ
Thomas Chabot D 15 OTT
Remi Elie F 15 DAL
Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson F 15 BOS
Anton Forsberg G 15 CHI
Mark Jankowski F 15 CAL
Cristoval Nieves F 15 NYR
Gemel Smith F 15 DAL
Blake Speers F 15 NJD
Evgeny Svechnikov F 15 DET
Jakub Vrana F 15 WAS
Matthew Barzal F 10 NYI
Laurent Brossoit G 10 EDM
Peter Cehlarik F 10 BOS
Markus Hannikainen F 10 CBJ
John Hayden F 10 CHI
Charles Hudon F 10 MTL
Tristan Jarry G 10 PIT
Sean Kuraly F 10 BOS
Oliver Kylington D 10 CAL
Juho Lammikko F 10 FLA
Jacob Larsson D 10 ANA
Travis Sanheim D 10 PHI
Dominik Simon F 10 PIT
Pontus Aberg F 5 NAS
Rasmus Andersson D 5 CAL
Josh Archibald F 5 PIT
Nicholas Baptiste F 5 BUF
Riley Barber F 5 WAS
Christoph Bertschy F 5 MIN
Trevor Carrick D 5 CAR
Greg Chase F 5 EDM
Blake Coleman F 5 NJD
Kyle Connor F 5 WPG
Michael Dal Colle F 5 NYI
Kurtis Gabriel F 5 MIN
A.J. Greer F 5 COL
Ben Harpur D 5 OTT
Luke Kunin F 5 MIN
Anton Lindholm D 5 COL
Ian McCoshen D 5 FLA
Sonny Milano F 5 CBJ
Andrei Mironov D 5 COL
Gustav Olofsson D 5 MIN
Ryan Pulock D 5 NYI
Chaz Reddekopp D 5 LOS
Robbie Russo D 5 DET
Jan Rutta D 5 CHI
Jordan Schmaltz D 5 STL
Duncan Siemens D 5 COL
Marcus Sorensen F 5 SAN
Daniel Sprong F 5 PIT
Adam Tambellini F 5 NYR
Sergey Tolchinsky F 5 CAR
Lucas Wallmark F 5 CAR
Colin White F 5 OTT
Valentin Zykov F 5 CAR

By my count, 254 rookies appeared in at least one game in the NHL last season, but only 15 forwards, 10 defensemen and three goalies were considered to be pool worthy among the 25 teams in my draft.  Currently, I am showing nine forwards, five defensemen and only one goalie to do the same in my projections, but your guesses are likely just as good as mine.

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